nf1208: we talk about marketing exchange and we start off with the fact that you can trade products or services for money or some other kind of exchange so not all marketing is about commercial things there are for example marketing initiatives of various charities the marketing of various religions the marketing of other institutions and what happens in that case if it's a charity marketing to you the exchange that they are doing is that basically they're receiving money from you for charitable purposes what you get back in that kind of exchange is something different it's a feel-good factor it's feeling that you've supported your your nominated charity or whatever so it's not always just products and services for money although quite often what we're talking about is commercial exchange but when you look at a marketing textbook you quite often see a diagram that looks like that and it's got those kind of arrows but it almost infers that this is a one-off kind of exchange yeah what i've just been talking in market analysis to various people about is the fact that there are very few businesses where we're actually talking about something which can happen only once in fact i don't know if anybody's just been in the the last lecture has anybody think of any example of a business where it only needs to happen once right you haven't come up with the one that we we normally get sommit-, somebody's just given me the the classic which is funerals which is you know you sell it once and it doesn't matter if the person comes back to you of course the the answer to this is who's the customer you know the the family of of the person who died and hopefully you're not unfortunate enough to loove more lose more than one member of your family but i- , but if somebody else dies in the future you've been happy with the funeral director you may go back to them and er and if not you'd go to somebody else so there's virtually no business when we're talking about one-off exchange almost always we're talking about dealing with somebody repeat business so the firms want to build up an ongoing relationship with you that's what all of branding is about so when we say that you're building up identifiable brands with a set of values that you associate with them and so on it's all about people being able to identify with a set of brand values hopefully that they will become loyal to and will go back to time and time again the reason for that is obviously that the the costs involved in communicating with somebody and persuading them to buy your product the first time are much higher than for repeat business so if you go back to buyer behaviour h-, how many of you have done buyer behaviour no oh well you don't go back to buyer behaviour then how many have done market analysis okay you'll have done some buyer behaviour in there you've done enough for our purposes in buyer behaviour if you remember you've got various types of buying decision you've got habitual ones you've got complex decisions in industrial buying behaviour and this is where a lot of the the marketing relationship stuff comes from you have complex new purchase decisions and you have rebuys you remember you have a straight rebuy and you have a modified rebuy the straight rebuy i-, is the simplest of all because once you'd you've got the purchasing in place you've gone through this process of deciding what to buy you've looked at the specifications you've got the purchasing in place the likelihood is that you just go through the process over and over again then to buy it so it becomes much simpler it becomes less expensive for the firm involved to communicate what the benefits of the product are why you should buy it and so on because you've already gone through that process you're just turning the handle on it again so the repeat part of marketing the continued exchange the continued purchase is actually the one where the firms start to gain back some of the profits some of the benefits of having you persuaded persuaded you to buy their product or service a one-off sale is good to create trial to get you interested to to make you aware of the benefits but actually doesn't deliver as much of the return to the firm but that's how it tends to be depicted in the in the marketing textbooks it looks like we're s-, talking about a one-off static exchange and we're not we're largely talking about relationships if you take that a stage further and say let's think about international marketing relationships what does it do for our view of the environment and of those other things that we were talking about last week we find that it all starts to look somewhat different in any marketing or strategy textbook you're going to find a diagram that looks something like this Kotler has come up with this split into macroenvironment proximate environment that's the the middle circle and the inside circle which is the firm and the channel intermediaries that's called the the micro environment Porter's done something similar looking at all the various stakeholders out there in the market who have an influence on the firm typically we use this kind of diagram to say those external things in the outer ring or or square or whatever it is political physical economic legal technological sociocultural the basis of pest analysis which you have you should have come across anybody looking recognizing at this stage yes so you you you monitor the political economic legal technological social changes in the en-, in the environment what influences there are those things create the opportunities and threats for the business so those external things create the opportunities and threats which depending on the microenvironment the firm and its channels and what strengths and weaknesses it has there it may or may not be able to exploit so it may or may not be able to capitalize on an opportunity depending on what the capabilities of the firm are so we start off with the outer ring the the the pest analysis the macro level and quite often in a stakeholder analysis of the firm we tend to view that as being uncontrollable so those are just things out there in the environment which change and which the firm has relatively little control over the middle level according to classic industrial economics Porter's type view the competitors there's some kind of relationship with so a firm may be reacting to what its competitors have done or it may be trying to pre-empt its competitors we spoke last week about firms going into places like Eastern Europe and we looked at Nestlé who were prepared to cut the prices on Nescafé so that they could actually get into the market faster and gain the best distribution channels get their brand known all of those kind of moves were done to pre-empt their competitors so they wanted to get the first mover advantage you talk of various other firms er i was talking to Rothmans Tobacco about their approach to Eastern Europe and they said well look we've got to accept that we're not as big as some of the players in this market we've got people like Philip Morris we've got er British American Tobacco we've got R-J Reynolds with Camel and Marlboro and so on er those firms are much bigger than us and so whilst they were going into the markets very early on being first movers trying to establish manufacturing joint ventures something like Rothmans much smaller was saying well we're interested we'd like to go into the market but we're not we're not leaders normally we're more cautious than that our approach is normally to react to what our competitors have done and so we're looking at what they're doing and part of what makes that market attractive to us part of the market research we're taking into account is the fact that if our competitors have found opportunities there if they've decided it's worth manufacturing there that almost increases its attractiveness to us because we add that to the information we've got about the market and we say it's obviously somewhere that's attractive to go because our larger rivals who we know are more inclined to take risks have already done it so it makes it attractive to us so they in a sense were reacting to the competitors but there's some kind of relationship there and according to Porter and Kotler the only thing that the firm can really control is itself is the firm within the firm although Kotler has actually put channels in there as well because he believes the relationship with the channels should be so cooperative that it should be in the the central part of it so that if you like is the traditional or the classic marketing strategy view of the environment and the stakeholders in it but there are different views which come from different origins because that view is one that's based on the economics perspective which says that we're operating in this very competitive environment and it's what we call a zero-sum environment how many people have have come across zero-sum before no zero-sum is basically the view that says you can only gain at somebody's expense so if our firm is going to gain an advantage in a market say we call that plus-one so firm A say firm A is is Nestlé we've just been talking about them and firm A decides to go into Poland and it gains er a first mover advantage over its competitors say firm B is i don't know Procter and Gamble or or one of its rival firms it can only do that at the expense of of firm B that's a zero f-, sum view because plus-one-minus-one equals zero so zero-sum one firm can only gain at the expense of the other the opposite view to that and that's zero-sum is win-win win-win says that both firm A and firm B can gain they can both benefit at the same time under certain circumstances the circumstances in which both firms could gain would be if they have complementary capabilities of some sort so for example in international marketing terms if one of the firms has got access to some kind of scarce resource that the other one hasn't and the scarce resource which as the economists call scarce resource in international marketing quite often is local market knowledge and information so you imagine you're going into Poland or you're going into China or you're going into India and it's a market which is not your home market you have a number of problems that you're going to overcome just knowing where to locate yourself knowing what the customers want knowing what kind of environmental issues there are that you ought to be taking into account what kind of threats there are for you what kind of opportunities exist then the firm going into the market for the first time is relatively unlikely for example to understand the culture to speak the language to have enough people who it could send out to the market to to set up its operation how does it go about doing market research is it going to use a local agency and if so which one er what kind of questions are you going to be asking in the market you may not even have enough information to know where to start if you talk to some of the firms back to Rothmans again about going into Eastern Europe they said when they very first started looking at Eastern Europe they knew that there was potential because basically they'd started receiving orders so they were being very reactive they got unsolicited orders from Poland for large quantities of cigarettes and they realized that those markets were actually amongst the few remaining attractive markets in the world for tobacco manufacturers because smoking is declining in in most countries but in Eastern Europe not only was there a lot of potential because there weren't that many Western brands there but peop-, there were more people smoking as time went on so that for them was was a major opportunity but they didn't know anything about it they had to even go out and buy maps to work out where the new boundary i mean there m-, i know that sounds crazy but we're we're talking about nineteen-ninety and in nineteen-ninety nineteen-eighty-nine ninety the geographic map of Eastern and central Europe was changing fairly rapidly in fact i remember that i was trying to print off a map of where the boundaries were and look at which markets firms were investing in and looking at the opportunities and i couldn't find in any graphics package a map which had the right borders on because most of them had got to the stage by about nineteen-ninety-one if you got Harvard Graphics or Freelance or whatever of having central Europe right so they largely had well they had Hungary and Poland right they quite often had Czechoslovakia which since then had split up into Czech and and Slovak Republics they didn't have all of former Soviet Union right if they had it split down at all from from Soviet Union they had it named Commonwealth of Independent States which it was for a brief period of time but they hadn't then broken it down to Ukraine Belarus and all the other states which had come out of of the former Soviet empire so it's very difficult to get any kind of accurate market information firms like Rothmans were looking at the factors in the environment looking at that macroenvironment and saying we don't really know where to start in fact what they did was having identi-, i mean they they did something quite straightforward which is to look at location of the countries how far east they were and say well you know if we're going to progress even further east which ones are the stepping stones and which ones are the ultimate targets and let's look at the level of opportunity versus risk in each of the markets and what they did was they said that in terms of how far through the transition to market economy they were it was clear that Czech Republic Hungary and Poland were in the first tier of markets which were transforming that they were privatizing that their inflation rates were coming down and so on that the further east you went if you then went into Ukraine it was a stage further behind and if you then went into Russia it was a stage further behind again not just in terms of the transformation process but in terms of how much risk there was that that process would ever take place the other side of the coin if you said that it got more uncertain as you went further east i think i've got a map here to show you show you what the market looked like so if you're going to look at a map of Eastern Europe they started off by saying Czech Republic Poland and Hungary on this side here were the the the first markets that they may wish to get into because they were in a sense nearer geographically because they were further through the transformation process to market economy the further east you got through Ukraine Belarus and into we we've got it split here into European Russia and Asian Russia because there's some parts of Russia that actually fall in Europe there are some parts like Kazakhstan Azerbaijan which formally form into Asia it's another complication it was getting less certain but what's the other obvious thing you could say about those countries just looking at that map in terms of the opportuni-, opportunity for a consumer firm like a tobacco firm so the risks go up as you get further east what about the size of the markets getting smaller getting bigger sm1209: bigger nf1208: bigger a lot bigger massively much bigger so when you start off saying that as a gateway if you're trying to get experience into Eastern Europe you'd start off looking at Hungary and Czechoslovakia which were at the time the most advanced they've got a a population of something like ten-million each Poland with a population of i think thirty-three-million was getting more interesting for the consumer goods firms and for the tobacco firms because we're talking about how many people out of each of those markets would be able to afford their brands anyhow so we're only talking about a proportion of the market Ukraine i think fifty-six fifty-seven-million if i if i remember rightly Russia three-billion-plus so a lot more so for all the consumer good firms it was Russia that was the eventual target that's where they wanted to be but the level of uncertainty was higher so what they wanted to do was to gain some experience in the markets that were nearer at hand which were further through the process and use that to get into the Ukrainian market and then into the Russian market later under this zero-sum view of the world assessing the attractiveness of those markets was going to be about looking at what was happening politically so we've said that the pest analysis they'd be saying er in those cases very high political risk so is this transformation to market economy going to continue or not i mean it looked very likely at various stages that the the the communists might get back into Russia and still looks possible that that they may do so at one point i'm trying to remember the sequence of years now there was a leftist government voted back into Poland so whilst Poland had been going through the the process very well they actually voted in a government who looked like they were going back more towards communism so there were some question mark against how far through the process Poland were going in d-, under physical you'd be looking at things like we've said there the geography of it er where are the main centres of population if you were a consumer goods firm are you going to be aining only for the cities or are you going to en-, aim for one region of somewhere like Russia i mean trying to get distribution of all of Russia at once is going to be a major task probably you need to start off with some of the main centres of population unless you can get things listed under the state distribution system where they will then take control of getting it all out to the market because if you're trying to do it physically that's a major thing economic risks threats that we've we've mentioned are for example the inflation rates hyperinflation Ukraine in nineteen-ninety-three to nineteen-ninety-four had an inflation rate of seven-thousand-eight-hundred per cent per annum which meant if you were dealing in a local economy you had to change the prices of your products from one day to the next which also meant that the value of of wages for people in that market were going down in terms of what it actually meant in real terms to the point where a week's wages wouldn't buy you a loaf of bread it certainly wouldn't buy you sort of Western coffee brands or or packets of Western cigarettes legally the laws were changing so rapidly so frequently that they didn't actually formally put out notices o-, to businesses any more they just published the new decreases they called them in in the n-, the newspapers and you just had to monitor what was happening in the press oh the law on VAT has changed again today the law on on repatriating profits has changed again today we're no longer allowed to export agricultural produce one of the earliest entrants into Ukraine was I-C-I because of its interest in agrochemicals and it had been very proactive in setting up a joint venture with local pe-, Ukraine is very strong on agriculture it was the centre of agricultural production for most of the Soviet Union because it's very fertile er firms like I-C-I had been in fast thinking well agrochemicals and and and Ukraine have got to go together and then the law changed to prevent them from exporting any of the produce out of Ukraine which really reduced the attractiveness of the market but they'd already invested technologically we've talked about that v-, very poor development or or expenditure in infrastructure over a period of time meant significant lags but those are being caught up very fast because the knowledge is there it was just the capital that wasn't socioculturally very ethnically split in a lot of those markets hence some of the problems we've seen with ethnic conflicts once the process of of taking away totalitarian control and breaking up to smaller units has has started it's sort of tempting for each subgroup w-, and each religious group to say well actually we don't feel that we're even and this is what happened to Czechoslovakia we don't even feel that we're necessarily one country maybe we feel that we're a Czech republic and a Slovakian republic separately now in that case it was done without any major conflicts but in other markets you say well if you're assessing opportunities and threats has it all finished are we at the end point or are we still somewhere in the process look at what's happening now with with the Kosovan rebels and and so on and Kosovo saying it's separate to Serbia and you've got to say that if you're looking at opportunities and threats socioculturally there are still quite a lot of issues unresolved in that region so the classic view would say that's a stakeholder analysis and you split it down into opportunities and threats and say do we or don't we go into that market do we want to be in there before our competitors are we prepared to wait and see what they do incidentally when we said reacting to your competitors going into a market and taking into account the fact that they've got into the market and it's obviously viewed as attractive could be part of your market research and it also has a name in economic theory so for anybody who wants to trace this back that's a classic case of oligopolistic reaction theory i know it sounds good you know monopoly is is when you have er it's a game yes [laughter] but it's also when you have one firm who dominates a market well oligopoly is when there's a few strong firms who dopera-, dominate a market so in the food industry for example you've got Unilever Procter and Gamble Nestlé in er computing you would have i don't know sm1210: nf1208: certainly in the ninete-, late nineteen-eighties they've had I-C-I I-C- L Digital wor-, so you'd have a few strong players in virtually all of the mature markets that you want to think about there are some dominant players and all of those firms in addition to looking at the opportunities and and threats in the market are also looking at each other and so when we say that they're they're likely to react you know one firm has gone into a market that makes it attractive but it'll also be saying what happens if we don't that's back to one of the questions we posed last week what happens with the then big six accounting firms now big four if you don't enter the market when everybody else does or is it the big four big five 'cause Price Waterhouse Coopers have become one now that maybe your customers in that market will start trading with somebody else maybe if your brand's not in the market you won't build up share in that in that country an oligopolistic reaction theory says once the market leader once the first firm in any given industry sector with a few strong players in has gone in into the market most of the others are likely to follow in very quickly so there's likely to be one person one firm who enter fast and then the rest come in not long afterwards so there is definitely a clustering effect that's happening in all of the markets the different view of all of this the win-win view says maybe it's not just about reacting to or monitoring what's happening in that outer environment maybe firms can actually strike up relationships relationships with their channels with their competitors with their publics their stakeholders political relationships legal relationships so they can have relationships all around that diagram that's why there's an arrow drawn on it because i've i've demonstrated this before with the same slide that you could for example and this is based on sociological roots not economic roots say that it's not as hard and fast as that according to this diagram there's a very firm border a solid border round the firm but accord-, according to some sociological theories the border round the firm isn't a very definite thing it's a fuzzy thing there's a soft boundary between the firm so that people within the firm the firm's made up with lots of different people who might have lots of different views or lots of different interests that they will strike up different relationships so for example you've got somebody in your warehouse you've got somebody in your marketing department you've got somebody in your production facility who may have very frequent contact with their opposite numbers and one of your customers or one of your channel intermediaries they f-, then formed relationships which exist across the boundary of the firm it might not just be one relationship it could be a whole lot of relationships which exist there and at that point it becomes very difficult to say where the actual boundary the ou-, the outer rim of the firm is what is it that you therefore control according to this diagram you only control the firm so what is it you actually control and what is outside external to the firm what we're saying is or what the normal view is that you only control the ac-, the extent of your resources Pfeffer and Salancik nineteen-seventy-eight if you want to go back to it that you have control over the resources of the firm but very little control outside of that but you may have relationships outside of that not control but relationships relationships with your channel i've just been talking today to to the market analysis groups about having cooperative relationships with your channels cooperation in relationships is one of the key themes of industrial marketing it's one of the key themes of services marketing it's one of the key themes of various parts of strategy literature so when we talked about win-win there win-win has become the major become the major focus for certain areas of marketing in recent years relationship marketing industrial marketing services marketing and all of the joint ventures strategic alliances literature say that it's not necessarily zero-sum you don't necessarily have to gain something at somebody's expense you may both be able to cooperate together some some people call it collaborate to actually gain access to things that the other player doesn't have so for example the growth of strategic alliances we pointed to at the end of last week in international markets largely seems to be about the fact that when firms go into these uncertain mega markets that they need to get access to all of that local knowledge people who speak the language people who know how it works people who can help them to understand the market and that is a scarce resource so if you look at it from the side of the partners in that kind of relationship you're finding that the local firm in the market is getting well what are they getting if you've got a Western investing firm who is coming into the market what is the local partner likely to gain from them assuming they're not operating that internationally themselves sm1211: the knowledge and experience nf1208: yeah they're going to gain the knowledge of the partner of how to operate internationally which will benefit them long term if that's their ambition what about resources sf1212: get er technology is that nf1208: yes yes so so they may have i don't know superior production or superior technologies in some way superior research and development capability anything else sm1213: financing nf1208: yeah that's going to be one of the major ones because quite often the ability to expand internationally is constrained by not having the money upfront to be able to do it so if you've got a partner who comes in who's got money then that's opens up your opportunities anything else sm1214: reputation nf1208: yes so you can you could gain strong brands which may help you in the market what about the side of the investing firm the firm who's going into the market we've mentioned language cultural things what else might they gain by linking up with a local partner sf1215: distribution abroad nf1208: yes so we we said that the the main problem may be distribution but if the local partner already knows that or already has that established certainly going to cut down the the time that it takes you get into get into the market may improve your effectiveness anything else things like workforce so they may have a set of production facilities already and people who work there and an understanding of what the H-R policies are in the market and whether or not those are and we we talked about technology and brand reputation in there maybe you may need to change some of those things a bit to make sure that you're working to the level that you want to to protect your brand reputation maybe not maybe it's ahead of of where you are er but already those facilities exist and that's likely to cut down the time of getting into the market so we've sort of got our head around interorganizational relationships as we call them cooperation between two firms who maybe otherwise would be competing but who have complementary capabilities and therefore can work together as i say there's a lot of joint ventures alliances literature around that area and one of the best articles if you want something to to read in that area is Gary Hamel er Hamel Prahalad and Doz nineteen-eighty-nine it's in Harvard Business Review i think it's on your reading list and it's called Collaborate with Your Competitors and Win and it's all about in circumstances where two firms have complementary capabilities then they could work together fairly productively and you can think of all kinds of examples where that might happen you've got a small firm with technological ideas but no money and a larger investing firm may link up with them to get the ideas er and put money in in return obviously all kinds of issues but there are complementary capabilities we've talked about channel intermediaries and we've talked about being cooperative with your intermediaries it's in both your best interests to get things effectively to the market to sell them effectively to er understand each other's products and to work together well industrial marketing works along similar lines by saying well let well let's go back those of you who've done market analysis what are the characteristics of industrial buyers compared to consumer ones sm1216: sf1217: nf1208: bigger sorry sf1217: more than one decision maker nf1208: yeah more than one decision maker larger how many of them sm1218: fewer nf1208: so fewer customers likely if you're talking about final consumers you're talking about a very large number of customers industrial you tend to be talking about fewer you tend to be talking about more professional in that they might often go through a a formal process of specifications and so on as you say more people involved in the decision making unit er quite often more stages involved in the process therefore it's another one of the markets where we actually stress the benefits of long term relationships and we've long said that you could work together quite closely with your industrial customers and develop cooperative relationships i also mentioned relationship marketing how many people have come across relationship marketing no it's one of the latest sort of themes and and and topics that's coming out of the the marketing research and also very much er in interest of of firms because until recently the only way in which you could have relationships that were that close were with for example channels or with industrial customers where there weren't many of them because the amount of time and the amount of contact it took meant that it wasn't possible to do that for example with the consumer market because there were just too many customers but advances in technology database marketing for example knowing more about your customers through loyalty schemes knowing who they are where they are what their interests are has opened up a whole set of possibilities in terms of relationships which didn't previously exist so relationship marketing means that those benefits of cooperation and building up long term loyalty have actually transferred across from industrial markets and channels to consumer markets via technology and the roots of relationship marketing are also in services marketing which i mentioned because services marketing if you remember the fact that services tend to be well okay that's er that's another blast from the past characteristics of services marketing compared to products services are sm1219: you can't store them nf1208: you can't store them sm1219: intangible nf1208: intangible yeah what were the other two [laugh] sm1219: er er nf1208: heterogeneous yeah sm1219: nf1208: var-, variable sm1219: nf1208: that's right that's that's that's the key one really so the [sniff] we've got the fact that they're variable so depending on whether the waiter in your restaurant has had a bad day or not m-, the service may be different we've got er perishable if you don't use your service now if you don't sell a seat on your airline today you can't keep it in your warehouse and sell it next week it's a one-off opportunity and it may be gone that's why you get variable pricing of services we've got er inseparable and inseparable is the one that we're actually trying to get to here inseparable is the fact that the service deliverer is the person who you're going to come into contact with quite often so you can't sort of separate out the good and sell it down through a channel the service is delivered face to face quite often so what your perception of the service is in a restaurant is going to be very much down to er the quality of the waiters waiter or waitresses in that restaurant that becomes relevant when you talk about relationship marketing because a lot of this relationship quality is about delivering value delivering value in services is going to be sort of quite challenging because it is so variable because it is face to face and you've got to come up with ways of delivering the best quality in that relationship in order to develop it long term so the sorts of issues that come out there are well okay er how do you build up long-standing relationships do you have to prioritize some parts of the service offer if you can't do everything well do firms necessarily want all of the services or do they want to opt into some things or others or do they want to pay for the whole lot so you get into variable service offers a-, and all kinds of issues around that nf1208: the final demonstration of win-win or another demonstration of win-win that we're talking about today is international marketing so we've had international marketing having i'll come back to explain some of the issues in here in a moment but let's just go through the slide we've had the interorganizational network we've had relationships with other organizations so joint ventures and strategic alliances getting into markets links with other businesses and so for example we've talked about business to business services so the accounting firms and we've talked about firms going into Eastern Europe and saying that some of the multinational organizations who went in had very strong links to their accounting firms their business suppliers largely because they were so uncertain about what was happening legally and what else was happening in the market interorganizational network could be other international firms therefore it could be firms in the local market so local partners and also from that Porter Kotler diagram we just saw it could be with other stakeholders it doesn't need to be with your competitors it could be with your suppliers or it could be with your channel intermediaries it could be with upstream or downstream firms but relationships between organizations from the sociology literature we've just talked about there we have what you call the intra organizational network so within the organization the last one was between organizations this is within and if we've said that the organization is is comprised of a lot of people who may have relationships across the borders of it may have relationships within the boundaries of the firm you're saying that the firm's not just a black box with a firm boundary the firm is made up of lots of people with lots of different interests some with ability to communicate well with your their counterparts in other organizations some who for whatever reason may not match back to industrial marketing again in terms of their personality their background their characteristics their experience and so on again applying the intraorganizational relationship aspect to it to the Eastern European example we had there intraorganizationally within the organization the type of relationships that have become important or the type of people who have become important are for example the diaspora diaspora for for those who haven't come across the word are the displaced people so those people who had actually moved out of the Eastern European region over the past however many years of its history where it that they felt that it's not a a a good place to be are now getting opportunities to return there because there's demand of course for people who speak various Eastern European languages various Eastern European languages which had been in the minority so if the Soviet Union said everybody should speak Russian therefore there wasn't a great deal of of demand for example for Ukrainian or Polish or whatever but there is now that they're separate markets because part of the sociocultural opportunity part of the sociocultural difficulty if you like for firms is that those markets are saying you want to do business with us speak to us in our language we don't want you to speak Russian we want you to speak Polish Serbo-Croat Ukrainian and however many other different variants of languages there are within the region which are a lot so the diaspora are fulfilling quite an important role intraorganizationally and they are forming relationships across the soft boundaries of the firms into the networks in those markets because they speak the right languages there's other Eastern and central European subsidiaries of the firms for example so when we spoke last week of firms looking at east and central Europe and saying which of those markets are the most attractive how do we go in do we enter lots of the countries rapidly or do we gradually build up our expertise in the region you're finding for example that i'll come back to this slide in a moment you're finding for example that firms typically this is one of the the big six accounting firms in fact it's Arthur Andersen and Arthur Andersen were sorry it's not Arthur Andersen it's Ernst and Young Ernst and Young were looking at the Eastern European region and in nineteen- eighty-nine had entered Hungary by nineteen-ninety they'd entered these grees-, c-, green regions so Czech and Slovak Republic Poland and European Russia by nineteen-ninety-one they were in virtually all of the rest of the region so actually their their process of entry into the region was very fast what that means is that if you're trying to gain knowledge or understanding of the region you've got some subsidiaries in some countries who are gaining the knowledge on a day to day basis when you come to make a decision about when you invest or whether to invest in the next countries in line you can use the information that you're gathering out of your own other subsidiaries within the region because basically virtually no firms had relevant up to date marketing information about east and central Europe because anybody who did had it under the Soviet Union and is as as that system broke down the languages may not apply the state distribution didn't apply as one of the firms said to me think it was I-C-L said it was difficult to understand the rules of the former Soviet Union but once you understood them and you knew who to deal with and you knew that you went via Moscow centrally and and they took it from there then it was understandable but once that broke down it was very difficult to know where to go next and all of the firms were suffering from similar problems none of them had much relevant information prior to nineteen-eighty-nine and Soviet Union prior to nineteen-ninety-one and so all of them at this point were were confronting the same sets of issues so if you go back to our slide again so that intraorganizationally diaspora are important other east and central European subsidiaries may be important the other thing that may be important is the role and distance of headquarters so one of the other types of relationships that's significant is how much power exists within those subsidiaries how much control they can make over the decisions so can they decide there is business potential here we want to invest in the market or do they have to go back to headquarters to get that decision signed off and at what point do they have to do so do they have a certain amount of money they can spend and then have to go back or do they have to check everything do they have to promote and and concentrate on a a set of blan-, brands globally or do they have reasonable local autonomy to do what's appropriate for the market we mentioned Johnson Wax last week who were early entrants into east and central Europe and they were reverting to product formulations that they hadn't used in in other markets but they still had they still had patents on but they weren't using things like liquid starch now that would be something that was very specific to a country or a number of countries within the region and the question is whether they can come up with that idea monitoring the environment or whether they need to go back and get that checked and who by and whether it's felt that that's something that they want to be associated or with or not in some cases there can be different views depending on where you are if you're in the market even though it looks very uncertain because if you look at a a sort of assessment of the market you look at the facts and figures and you say seven-thousand-eight-hundred per cent inflation don't know how quickly they're getting through the transformation process seem to be changing the laws every day er stopping us from re-exporting products in certain categories what if ours is next VAT rates going from nought per cent to two-hundred per cent back to n-, to you know a hundred per cent next week maybe this isn't a market we ought to be operating in we could lose a lot of money we could damage our brand reputation what if we have to withdraw from the market that quite often is a view that's taken by the headquarters because at headquarters they're talking about brands and strategic things quite often the local market once people get themselves there they get established into the networks and they begin to understand how things happen particularly if they have a local partner who can gain them access and the risks start to look less to the people who are actually on the ground who understand the market particularly those who have been in other subsidiaries of the firm within the region and are gaining knowledge so you can find that there are decisions whether something is an opportunity and whether to capitalize on it which are viewed very differently by the headquarters and the subsidiary and a classic example of one of the telecommunications firms where he'd been out prospecting the market for two three years bearing in mind the person prospecting had been round Azerbaijan Kazakhstan various parts of Russia Ukraine and was assessing opportunities and was saying ah i think there's a a great opportunity here for us it will cost i don't know what the amount of money was but a relatively small amount of money i think he was saying something like fifteen-million to invest in this opportunity then when he went back to the organization to er to headquarters to get this sanctioned they looked at the market and said forget it there's there's too much corruption we don't want to be associated with some of the things that are happening i hear that firms are paying bribes er you know we're we're not sure we want to operate in the market the potential damage to our brands could be too great we think in the short term that we should stop looking at that market we were interested longer term in looking at Russia anyhow maybe the uncertainty levels in Russia are no higher so you should come out of Ukraine it was and go directly to Russia and look at the potential there because really in terms of uncertainty of what's happening in terms of bribery it can't be much worse and he was actually very disenchanted by that because he'd been l-, asked to look at what was happening in the market and he'd come up with this idea that he really thought would work so there was actually in that case quite a lot of distance between the headquarters and the subsidiary okay we've also talked about the pest analysis but we've talked about it as a set of unconnected forces in the environment which you monitor but you can't control so the next stage of international marketing relationships is work that says maybe they're not uncontrollable maybe you can have some kind of relationship with those stakeholders as well that influences what happens to your firm influences your success some work by Philip Kotler er called Mega Marketing and i think the article is nineteen-eighty-three and it's also in Harvard Business Review in addition to the traditional four Ps he identifies another two that he believes people should take into account those are politics and people so if you look i can't spell politics people has also been referred to variously as public relations because what he's actually saying is that in some markets and he he applies mega marketing to what he calls blocked markets blocked markets are those which have not been opened to the firm previously for various reasons either because of their political systems or because of the level of income of the people in the market that they have not been places that it was easy to get into particularly blocked markets are ones where there has for whatever reason been a government block on investing firms or on foreign products and therefore he believes that politics so lobbying appropriate people in the governments of the countries and working out how you could deal how you might get access what the the barriers are becomes quite important now i know it isn't a particularly good example in in le-, in terms of its level of success but a few years back you may remember that there was various American trade delegations went over to Japan to talk about er some of the barriers that they believed were in place by MITI which was stopping American and other products from getting into the Japanese market claiming that this was sort of unfortunate because Japanese products were actually coming into other markets quite successfully but they always felt that there were barriers i say it's an unfortunate example because we had people like Chrysler and General Motors and so on complaining about not getting access and a large part of why they weren't getting access was nothing to do with barriers that were put up it was to do with the quality of the products and whether they were seen to be offering benefits in the market anyhow but that kind of initiative trade delegations and one government having contact with and lobbying another government or firms lobbying their own government suggesting that they ought to take certain actions are becoming an increasing feature of international marketing think of one of the current examples membership of the the single European currency and some of the U-K businesses i've spoken to feel very strongly that the U-K should be in and that there can only be disadvantages to them from not being in that being that if Europe is going to be a region trading in this and the U-K is still going to be subject to exchange rates so it therefore is taking more risk on exchange rates its business is going to be complicated because it's going to have to start trea-, trading in euros anyhow because everybody else within Europe is going to be it's going to have the pressure to do that so it's going to be operating two systems instead of one system you know virtually everybody i speak to in a U-K business says well what's the downside explain to me again why we didn't want to be in this er well some kind of nationalism and and we want to still have pounds and things we're a bit concerned whether the Queen's head's on there or not but i mean economically business sense the euro think i'm getting into my er holding forth on the euro the euro makes a lot of sense and a lot of businesses are concerned at what will happen as a consequence of not being into the euro early therefore are lobbying the British government saying you know can you tell us what policy is when we're going to get into this er what the objections are similarly with the the GATT the General Agreement on Trade and Tariff the last round in Uruguay there was a big letter to the press from the the C-E-Os of i think it was the the top hundred er multinational firms saying can we press for a favourable outcome to getting rid of some of the trades and tariffs for those who who weren't aware of this the the General Agreement on Trades and Tariffs is to allow free trade between nations and at the seventh round the Uruguay round was the first time that services were included as well as products and there were certain categories which were real stumbling blocks agriculture always has been 'cause every country is protective of its agriculture and its rights to export and to protect people from coming into its market funnily enough films became one of the major ones there was a big concern about in the film industry about having free trade and particularly some of the European countries like France being concerned that Hollywood having free access into their market and it looked like the whole thing was going to come apart but a lot of the the C-E-Os were very concerned that this shouldn't happen so they started lobbying their governments collectively and if you think of what all the different nationalities of the top hundred multinational firms that's a lot of governments to try and encourage them to press for a favourable outcome to the GATT round which was favourable in the end if we now go back to our pest analysis slide that we had that explains the arrow between political and firm concerns because we're not then saying well politics is just something that's out there and we monitor it we're saying that under certain circumstances firms may actually be able to have some kind of influence some kind of relationship with political stakeholders they can lobby they can represent a set of interests they they can lobby their governments who have relationships with other governments likewise economically some players are big enough to have an influence on economic policy likewise technologically you've got some firms like Microsoft who are clearly at the forefront of what's happening in technology and standards are being set around them so maybe it's not this uncontrollable set of factors in the environment maybe there are even patterns of relationships which exist not just inter and intraorganizationally but in the macroenvironment as well and so the top box on this slide represents that view and says let's understand that the host market country that you're going into's network of relationships too and so basically it's an application of pest analysis to a specific market and say what type of relationships or what issues in relationships in the macroenvironment will be significant talking about Eastern Europe again because that's just happens to be the example i've applied it to what kind of issues would be important it would be very important that the relationships are turbulent so if you were trying to work out who politically you ought to form relationships with in Ukraine part of the problem would be that it's changing all the time because every time the economic policy doesn't work they elect somebody different or it's very difficult to know who's the figurehead and who really controls the power so it'll be turbulent it'll also be turbulent if you're trying to work out which other firms in that market you ought to collaborate with because sometimes the scarce resources the knowledge that you wish to get out of your intraorganizational par-, interorganizational partners may not be as valuable as you would like it to be so if you're going in because you think they understand the market if the whole system is is falling apart and it's all turbulent they may not understand it much better than you do and that's been one of the classic problems firms going in thinking well the Ukrainian local partner will understand what's happening Ukrainian local partners didn't necessarily know who their customers were sounds hard to explain but i'll just explain a little further why in a free market exchange and in a marketing channel kind of relationship you have a producer you have a customer you may have intermediaries in the middle as we've said and the government in a pest analysis has been shown to be sort of somewhere in that outer rim it's somewhere in the pest analysis it's an uncontrollable variable now what we're saying is there may be some possibility of having a two-way relationship so there may be some ability to lobby that government so we've got a dotted arrow there we've said yes maybe there is a relationship it's not a direct one like you have with your customers but there's some kind of relationship which exists but under the centrally planned economies that we were talking about in this example the government played a very controlling role in the previous system the government had direct relationships both with the producer and with the customer they dictated what should be made in what quantity where it was going to go what the firms did was produce it to schedule largely they sounds good doesn't it they er [laughter] it's the heating system er high-tech the government and the producer had direct relationships and the customer who got this all through a state system so if it was food stores they were called gastronome and they all stocked exactly the same things in the same location for the same price so the relationship between the producer and the customer wasn't even necessarily a direct one the firms just produced it to schedule it was picked up on lorries taken away delivered to the state outlets and there may not have been in fact there quite often wasn't any direct contact between those two at all