nm1222: maybe i said it at the very beginning er [0.2] but maybe i didn't [0.3] so f-, er while i talk feel free sort of to interrupt me if you have any questions directly as i'm going on [0.3] because as you will have noticed er [0. 5] er i and i guess namex as well we have a tendency just just just to talk to the very end of the lecture [0.2] so there is not really any time [0.4] to ask questions directly at the end only then in the seminar [0.3] but if you want to raise points directly related to [0.2] what we are doing [0.4] er just feel free to do so [0.2] then we [0.3] we can interrupt and and answer questions or give more detail [2.3] er otherwise [0.3] er we will with this with this lecture now move to er the [0.2] the whole set of lecture really the [0.2] the core or the middle part of this course [0.4] where the er we will talk about [0. 4] er [0.3] tendencies of change in [0.3] contemporary Western societies [0.6] over [0.2] well roughly [0.2] the past three decades or the post-World War Two period [0.6] so the main [0.4] er [0.8] time span at which we'll be looking will always be a comparison between [0.2] well roughly the nineteen-fifties and nineteen-sixties on the one hand [0.5] and the nineteen- nineties on the other [0.6] and the guiding question will always be [0.3] whether there [0.2] is an important social transformation going on [0.4] er in the various fields of of social action [0.4] in society [1.0] now [0.2] er we'll start with really with [0.2] sort of more economic topics so the theme of this lecture is in [0.2] well economic sociology if you want to call it like that [0.5] or also some elements of [0.3] the sociology of labour and sociology of the welfare state [2.0] and er [0.3] you may remember from [0.2] er [0.2] a couple weeks ago [0.4] er that er i already gave an outline of the major areas we'll be looking at of the dimensions of social change [0.6] er so i will [0.2] er [0.2] in the first few minutes come back to that [0.4] er talk about [0.2] how we can discuss the major economic changes [0.4] and then go into [0.2] much more detail than i did in the short summary [0.5] which i did a couple weeks ago [2.9] now [0.2] the [0.2] question which i already posed a couple of weeks ago was [0.3] well why at all look at the post-war period [0.4] if [0.4] er one could say that i mean for [0.3] er [0.7] most Western countries [0.3] there wasn't really any major institutional change [0. 4] i mean most Western countries [0.2] at least from after the Second World War onwards from the ni-, late nineteen-forties [0.6] er were [0.2] basically [0.2] er [0.6] democratically organized in political terms [0.4] they were capitalist market societies in economic terms [0.4] they were er societies [0.2] broadly committed to a plural understanding of er [0.2] social lives [0.4] so nothing really happened in all those sort of most fundamental terms one could say [1.1] nevertheless [0.3] we will try to make an argument that there was a major change [0.4] er so that must have been then on a slightly [0.3] sort of [0.2] more [0.4] er more detailed levels of a more differentiated level [1.0] er and that is what we will try to do so we have to describe [1.0] in this lecture economic but then also political and social changes [0.4] in a bit more detail at a [0.2] at a lower level of differentiation so to say [1.9] once we do that [0.3] then [0.3] er we can see that indeed there were some [0.3] some important changes [0.6] er [0.2] and so what i will do now is i will try to describe [0.5] er or give an idea as to how one could describe [0.2] as indeed how sociology has described [0.5] er over a [0.6] a couple of decades within the framework of industrial society theory [0.6] has described the societies of the nineteen-fifties nineteen-sixties [0.8] er and then i will sort of [0.3] er try to show [0.4] how these descriptions have changed and how we should really [0.3] er see [0.3] Western societies in a slightly different light nowadays [1.8] in economic terms [0.3] er [0.4] i say this [0.3] briefly as a summary at the beginning [0.4] er [0.3] the [0.4] er [0.5] theory of industrial society [0.4] er was really based on the idea [0.3] that er [0.4] the dominant model of industrial production [0.4] is er standardized mass production [0.4] er [0.2] large production runs of a rather limited number of goods [0.4] er in large-scale factories er large-scale organizations [0.7] er [0.3] and those [0.2] the goods produced [0.3] the under those conditions of mass production [0.3] being consumed in a similarly standardized way so that's [0.3] standardized mass cos-, mass consumption as some people have said [1.6] this [0. 4] model of economic organization then went with [0.5] er [0.2] sort of say a model of economic policy making [0.7] er which seemed adapted and adequate to this model of economic organization [0.5] namely [0.3] on the one hand [0.4] large-scale organization of both employers and workers sort of in unions and of employers' associations [0.6] er direct negotiation between [0.2] the top [0.2] level of these large-scale organizations [0.5] with very often [0.3] the involvement of the state as a moderator and mediator [0.4] between sort of the two [0.4] conflicting organizations [1.1] the state in addition [0.4] intervening into the economy [0.4] er by means of [0.3] what was technically known as demand management [0.4] er [0.5] economic policy based on the Keynesian idea [0.4] that er by increasing or diminishing government spending [0.3] er you could indeed [0.3] keep the economy on a basically stable growth path [1.5] that then in consequence it's a third element [0.3] the so it's the the economy policy objective we can call it [0.4] or also a link between [0.3] economic policy and social policy really [0.6] namely that once you think that you can't keep the economy on a stable growth path [0.5] then you can also [0.2] argue that [0.4] full employment is [0.4] an objective of government action [0.4] which can indeed be achieved [0.4] there is no major problem in achieving it because on the basis of Keynesianism [0.5] er you know how you're going to do it [0.3] namely [0.4] should employment fall below a certain level [0.4] then [0.2] you er have to increase government spending [0.4] er [0.2] the production will increase and employment will increase [0.2] and accordingly sort of the move back to the growth path [0.4] has been achieved [1.5] so that is [0.3] basically er we can call that a sort of full employment convention as it has been called recently [0.3] and the basic agreement er [0.5] even sort of among the major parties sort of the more conservative Christian parties on the one hand [0.4] the Tories in Britain [0.4] and the the more [0.4] sort of left wing Social Democratic or Labour parties on the other hand [0.5] during the fifties and sixties [0.2] they basically agreed that that is the [0.3] the way to do it [0.2] er and that [0.2] one indeed could achieve that [1.8] so this is [0.2] i-, [0.2] in summary really something which i said already earlier a couple of weeks ago [0.6] is er [0.2] the idea that there is a typical [0.5] er sort of organization of production [0.5] linked to [0.6] a typical economic policy mechanism [0.3] er and economic policy objectives [0.5] which in sum really describe what [0.5] er the economy of in-, advanced industrial society is about [1.3] that's the image of the [0. 2] nineteen-sixties so to say [0.9] and now we'll i'll run through that [0.4] and er we'll try to discuss [0.3] if that has changed and how that has changed over the more recent period [0.7] let me for that purpose also [0.2] er [0.6] draw sort of a [0.8] a a kind of picture which you will [0.2] er be used to already by now [0.3] sort of this distinction between the sixties and the nineties [0.4] long [0.2] well always slightly schematic terms but i think useful terms [0.4] to er [0.3] carve out the main elements of those pictures [0. 6] so we'll [2.4] compare the nineteen-sixties [2.5] to the nineteen-nineties [0.6] along those er three dimensions which i [0.2] i outlined just now [0.5] er [0.2] the one we can call [0.9] something like the [0.6] organization of production [5.7] this is [0.6] standardized mass production [9.9] and associated with that the large- scale organization [10.5] combined and linked to er [0.2] er [0.4] what i call here now the economic policy [0.6] arrangement or mechanism [12.3] this is er [0.4] Keynesianism [0.3] on the one hand [6.4] and very often [0.4] indeed to varying degrees but i will come back to that [0.5] linked to what one can call corporatism [0.5] corporatism in the sense namely that [0.2] both employers and workers [0.4] get organized also in large-scale organizations that's where there is some [0.2] mapping here to the form of production [0.6] er and that they [0.3] er [0.6] talk about er the development of the economy [0.3] often [0. 2] er together with the state governments of the economic ministry or [0.3] whatever the exact title is in various countries [1.8] this is indeed a term with which you may be less familiar [0.4] it's more typical really of continental European arrangements than of [0.6] English or British arrangements [0.2] but we come back to that [5.8] and finally we have an economic policy objective as i just said [9.0] and that is er the full employment convention [13.2] now if we look at that [0.6] you can almost immediately say that [0.5] er [0.2] this [0.2] is no longer [0.5] sort of really in the strong sense valid [0.5] er in the sense namely that [0.3] er this is the the one dominant or typical model [0.2] of economic organization and economic policy [0.8] but on the other hand you could also argue [0.4] well [0.3] we still have elements of all that [0.4] and certainly there is standardized mass production still [0.6] er there may not be exactly Keynesianism but er there are government interventions into the economy [0.6] and there are these large-scale organizations and at least in some cases also [0.6] er [1.0] ideas of communication coordination of [0.2] economic policy [0. 6] er [0.2] in [0.5] in wi-, er between these organizations [0.5] and there is at least [0.2] a lot of [0.3] talk about full employment and how one gets back to full employment [0.8] er so there is sort of [0.3] a bit a mixed picture [0.2] er the on the one hand [0.3] these elements are still there [0.5] on the other eleme-, [0.2] hand [0.5] we can also say that er many of these things have changed we [0.2] haven't had full employment for [0.5] er more than fifteen or twenty years depending on the country [0.6] now [0.4] governments may keep talking about it but [0.2] we may have doubts about their commitment to it really [0.8] er coordination between the economic policy actors [0.4] has in has in many instances broken down it has been difficult to re-establish it [0. 5] various countries one talks about the need to re-establish it but it doesn't [0.2] work [0.5] any longer as effectively as it once did [0.9] and there [0.3] is a lot of talk about small and medium-sized entreprise that innovation in the economy comes really from them and rather [0.3] not from the large-scale companies [0.4] so you see there [0.2] this kind of mixed picture [0.2] which er [0.4] really has [0.4] has these elements still but also has lots of complications [0.8] now er [0.5] er [1.0] i will try it from that basis then [0.4] try to say something about [0.4] er [1.1] rather analytical possibilities as we can try to describe [0.5] what the current situation is i mean if we try to [1.3] go beyond at least er [0.3] one or two steps beyond just saying [0.4] well we have it but we also have new elements [0. 4] er try to er [0.2] to analytically describe what the [0.4] the possibilities of sociological analysis of the economy [0.3] er are nowadays [1.5] and in that context i will then refer to the various [0.5] er texts which are in the course outline and [0.3] well [0.4] the particular one you [0.2] you read for [0.8] the seminar later on [1.7] now you will have seen in the reading for today [0. 4] that er some people argue [0.3] that standardized mass production is really [0.4] er [0.3] or went through er a major crisis of that [0.4] er there was a massive decline if not a collapse of the [0.4] model of standardized mass production [0.7] the key text for that [0.5] is er the one which we also listed under the additional readings [0.4] the book by [0.2] Charles Sable and Michael Piore [0.6] er on the second industrial divide [0.7] where they argue that indeed standardized mass production was a historical phenomenon [0. 5] which er slowly [0.4] which is not at all related to the industrial revolution [0.2] but that was really rather small-scale production [0.7] but is a phenomenon of the late nineteenth century [0.5] er when gradually [0.4] er these longer production runs [0.4] er Taylorist organization of work you know the [0.6] er which i briefly mentioned earlier [0.5] the m-, [0.4] the minute and detailed [0.4] er cutting up of the elements this i-, the the work process [0.4] er to control and steer [0.3] the labour power more effectively [0.5] er in the factory [0.5] and in the next step then the conveyor belt [0.2] er [0.3] and this er [0.2] model together [0.2] sort of [0.4] Taylorist [0.4] Taylorist scientific organization a-, [0.2] of work as [0.4] Taylor called it in the U-S at the beginning of this century [0.7] and [0.4] the [0.4] conveyor belt driven [0.6] er production of standardized good [0.4] has really become known as the [0.2] Fordist model of production [1.0] on the basis of [0.6] er works of some French economists in the [0.7] er late nineteen-sixties early nineteen-seventies [0.4] that has become known er this this model here as [0.3] as Fordism [0.5] but as a historical model of [0.4] er the organization of the capitalist economy [0.6] but it's not really typical for [0.2] capitalism as such [0.5] but rather typical for [1.1] a historical development within capitalism [0.6] so that means [0.2] er it may as well change and may as well [0.4] sort of decay and be transformed [0.6] and that then is really [0.4] the argument which Piore and Sable have come up with [0.4] namely that [0.2] if there was one industrial divide [0.5] in the nineteenth century late in the nineteenth century [0.5] towards [0.3] standardized mass production and towards Fordism [0.8] we may now be they wrote that in the early nineteen-eighties [0. 6] undergoing or going through a second industrial divide [0.7] away from standardized mass production [0.4] towards what they called flexible specialization [0.6] that's the term which you found in the in the reading [9. 9] flexible specialization means [0.2] that [0.3] due to new production technologies [0.4] basically related to er [0.3] electronics and information technology [0.7] er you can indeed [0.2] what you couldn't do [0.4] under Taylorism and Fordism [0.5] er change the production runs rather quickly [0.6] er so that you [0.2] were not dependent any longer on [1.0] mass production of goods and mass consumption of these [0.4] identical goods [0.5] but that you could [0.8] take the example of the car industry could change models rath-, rather quickly [0.4] or take con-, consumer electronics [0.6] er that you could have short production runs and then just change the computer [0. 3] er [0.2] assisted [0.2] design and production [0.4] er and produce something else [0.3] rather flexibly [0.2] but you can specialize [0.5] er at short notice and [0.2] during [0.4] over short time periods [0.5] er and that indeed [0.5] where [0.6] Taylorists and Fordists thought thought [0.4] that the er [0. 6] er big organization hierarchically organized centrally planned so to say within the govern-, within the company [0.6] that this [0.5] necessarily has to be the most efficient model of production [0.8] theorists of specialization argue instead that [0.5] at least and in [0.6] with the help of current technology [0.6] er you can indeed organize much more flexibly and that that is the [0.6] er the efficient way also of reacting to [0.3] changing demand [0.5] changing demand patterns [0.3] er and to [0.2] er changing market developments [0.3] on [0.2] that's part of this obviously [0.5] on an increasingly global market [1.8] and we'll just say here and point to [0.4] a later lecture and discussion [0.5] that [0.2] here this is also connected to er [0.6] a broader social change namely what we will discuss under the heading of lifestyles and identities [0.6] that indeed [0.3] from roughly the nineteen- seventies onwards [0.4] er demand patterns also changed [0.4] because [0.3] er [0.4] partly because of affluence also [0.3] 'cause people er were less interested in buying sort of always the same kind of car which may have a major change with the season [0.3] er minor change with the season [0.4] but a rather [0.4] er limited diversity [0.2] er of products on offer [0.7] the same for all kinds of more durable products [0.7] er so that [0.2] with a differentiation of life lifestyles er more emphasis given to [0.5] a variety of id-, [0.2] identities and social life [0.4] that indeed [0.3] er there was a demand for a greater variety and diversity of products [0.6] so that flexible specialization is also a response to this kind of social change or social and cultural change [0.4] namely [0.4] different demand patterns towards greater [0. 2] variety and diversity [2.6] now Piore and Sable also argue that [0.2] once you do that [0.4] er once you er er try to develop a [0.3] production organization [0.3] er in direction of flexible specialization [0.5] then you also need a different kind of of company [0.6] that the large-scale centralized hierarchical company [0.2] like [0.3] General Motors or Ford or so [0.7] is no longer the most efficient model [0.5] and they looked indeed [0.3] at research done er on [0.2] er central Italy [0.5] and on south-west Germany [0.5] er where [0.5] sort of highly [0.2] and sort of the [0.4] highly affluent regions er with er world market competitive production [0.5] but rather on the basis of many small companies [0.4] rather than a few big ones [0.7] this has become known as the theory of industrial districts [0.6] but you don't have [0.8] if you take the ex-, Italian example [0.3] but you don't have like with er Fiat in Turin [0.6] er one big company which really dominates the economy of a city [0.7] they have a city of a million inhabitants or more [0.5] where virtually everything is dependent from the well-being of the Fiat company was [0.2] it is no longer the case [0.8] but when you look at central Italy [0.4] er then you have [0.6] no big company at all but a region which was not only at least as affluent [0.3] or maybe more affluent and more [0.2] prosperous than northern Italy [0.6] with the more [0.5] sort of industrial [0.7] mass production kind of economy [0.7] er but even an economy [0.3] which watered the crisis of the nineteen-seventies [0.3] the world recession [0.2] recession in seventy-four seventy-five [0.5] er and demand changes [0.3] er much better at [0.2] than the [0.4] er standardized production economy did [0.7] so Piore and Sable and other [0.2] economic sociologists really concluded from that [0.6] that [0.2] there is [0.4] a [0.5] er a more efficient a f-, more flexible model of industrial organization [0.3] also on the level of of company organization [2.3] and that is er as i said [1.1] really a model of industrial districts [4.0] nowadays also sometimes discussed as a sort of network organization [0.4] er not [0.3] one big company but [2.6] a network of smaller companies [0.8] about which it is also important to say that the idea there is [0.5] er not just [0.7] er the idea of [0.5] the innovative capacity of small and medium-sized entreprises as er [0.4] to here in economics [0.5] but also the idea that these companies are not really in full competition [0.8] but that they so say share common resources like [0.5] er certain kinds of education and training in a region er historical [0.4] er backgrounds of er produc-, [0.2] production specialisms [0.4] er that they also have [0.4] er [0. 3] cooperative relations rather with er [0.3] local or regional Chambers of Commerce [0.3] with local or regional banks to finance their arrangements [0.7] so indeed there's not just a question of t-, of size [0.4] it's also the idea [0.2] that there is not [0.5] sort of full market competition [0.3] as economists would like to tell us [0.5] but rather a kind of [0.3] social economic arrangement [0.3] based on [0.4] a mixture of cooperation and competition [0.5] er where companies also work together while they're may at the same time be compete in several respects [2.6] now [0.4] er [1.6] this is sort of one argument [0.2] and if you looked at Piore and Sable [0.6] er [0.4] The Second Industrial Divide you will have seen that that they make that argument sort of very strongly [0.5] that there is a [0.2] a big change [0.3] from this kind of organization [0.5] to this kind of organization [2.5] now as i said earlier [0. 3] er we may [0.7] see that something like that happens that also maybe that we [0.5] er sociologists and economists didn't pay enough attention [0.4] to these other kinds of production [0.4] er which er were [0.4] more sort of in the shadow so to say of [0.4] er the dominant mass production mentioned earlier because they existed and these industrial ic-, [0.3] districts existed in the fifties and sixties [0.5] they're not really new [0.5] er but not much attention was paid to them [1.2] but we may also argue [0.6] standardized mass production also persists [0.4] so that we cannot [0.5] that Piore and Sable really overdraw their argument by saying that [0.5] er [0.6] the whole economy [0.4] moves from one model [0.3] standardized mass production [0.5] to a different model flexible specialization [1.1] any empirical study will show that that is not really true [0.2] er that there there may be [0.9] some change into that direction but there may as well be just a shift in attention on the part of observers er also journalistic observers [1.1] now [0.5] that is where i come to the [0.2] diagram which is the i will not [0.2] say much in detail about that [0.5] because of lack of time [0.5] there have then been er been some economists and sociologists [0.4] er who have tried to go a step further [0.7] and the [0.2] main idea of this diagram is quite simple [0.3] mainly to say that [0.2] there is not any overall shift [0.5] just look at it myself [0.8] er [0.4] but we really have to [0.4] recognize that what exists [0.8] is [0.5] something like a plurality of worlds of production [0.3] as er Salais and Storper call that [0.4] this is the [0.3] text [0.5] er which is also on the course outline [0.5] er The Four Worlds of Contemporary Industry [0.7] er from the Cambridge Journal of Economics but you have the full details in the outline this diagram is taken from that text [1.6] where you see [0.2] if you just take a brief look [0.4] in the [0.3] the the main idea here is [0.4] that [0.4] we really have [0.3] a variety of different basic production models [0.7] er and they argue that sort of systemically speaking there are four [0.7] er and er [0.7] there could be more obviously one can always sort of make this argument more sophisticated [0. 4] there isn't any [0.8] any need why there should be just four [0.8] er [0.5] below you have in the lower right corner [0.2] what they call the industrial world [0.4] that is really [0.3] this model [1.2] that's the lower right corner of their diagram [1.3] now [0.8] what er [0.4] Piore and Sable tend to argue [0. 6] is that er [0.3] due to the changes that i have been talking about [0.5] there is a shift towards [0.4] what one [0.2] may want to call a network market world [0.3] and that's the [0.5] er top right [0.9] er corner of this diagram [0.7] er [0.6] this is [0.2] er roughly more or less it's not exactly the same [0.4] it's what Piore and Sable say [0.6] er is roughly er the idea that the whole economy shifts from the lower right to the upper right [0.7] not least because if you look at the [0.4] er [0.4] the right order of that [0.4] because the market conditions change from predictability to uncertainty [0.9] and that is why you have to be [0.4] er more flexible [0.3] that is why you cannot [0.5] er rely on long production runs of the same products over long periods [0.5] er you have to be [0.4] er you have to react flexibly [0.3] er sort of as a producer [0.5] er to the changing market environments [1.3] er Salais and Storper say that this is [0.2] not entirely wrong [0.5] but it's only a part of the picture [0.5] so [0.2] that one should what one should really do is [0.3] one should er look at [0.7] economic organization [0.4] in broader and more systematic terms [0.4] that market changes [0.5] the right [0. 3] axis [0.2] the axis on the right [0.5] is only one part of the change [0.3] or of the conditions of production having said that first of all [0.6] there is another element which is the technology and the production process [0.6] which obviously was also part of [0.5] er Piore's and Sable's argument but again they assume that there is [0.3] a major shift into one direction only [1. 6] and if you take [0.2] er [0.3] Salais and Storper argue if you take [0.5] market conditions and [0.2] technological conditions into account [0.6] then [0. 2] you er [0.3] er have this variety or diversity of [0.4] of worlds of production [1.3] er different kinds of economic organization [0.6] at the same time not really a shift over time sort of one [0.3] historical transformation [0.6] as [0.7] the argument for s-, [0.2] flexible specialization wanted it [0. 6] but [0.3] er you have to look really at the national or local conditions [0. 4] to see [0.5] what kinds of markets are there [0.3] what kinds of technologies are used to produce goods [0.5] er [0.2] in certain areas or sin-, [0.2] or in a national economy like [0.2] say the British [0.7] er and then you can say [0.3] er where [0.3] the [0.5] er a major part of such an economy falls into this fourfold scheme [2.5] i [0.2] er we don't really have time to go into much detail [0.4] but er let me just say something about the [0.4] the other two worlds [0.7] er the world of innovation [0.2] that is really the that's the lower [0.6] left [0.3] corner [0.6] that is [0.2] not this Silicon Valley [0.3] kind of business where you have [0.5] er [0.8] er [0.2] sort of high-tech [0.2] er production [0.4] of the [0.3] the cutting edge of er [0.3] industrial technology [0.4] er that's why [0.2] it's on a different level of [0. 5] er [0.3] on the technology scale the [0.4] axis on the bottom [1.2] but you may sort of like [0.3] computer chips or basic computer equipment [0.4] also do [0.4] er fairly gen-, generic products [0.4] er catering for a fairly stable and developing market [0.6] so that is why this world of innovation [0.4] er [0. 4] is [0.2] changing [0.2] rapidly in terms of the technology they use because they [0.4] they use [0.3] a high scientific input [0.6] but they produce er for fairly predictable [0.2] markets [1.2] whereas the Marshallian market world [0. 3] er [0.9] using the name of Alfred Marshall sort of the [0.3] British economist from the [0.2] late nineteenth century [0.7] er [0.2] is [0.4] er [0. 2] a market world which also works with er high technology but has to adapt to rather unpredictable [0.3] er market conditions [1.0] then you see what they put er [0.3] into these boxes [0.6] is er [0.5] quite different criteria [0.4] er as to which these economic sectors or segments [0.4] worlds as they call that [0.4] er how they are organized [0.3] there is really only the industrial world [0.4] competes by price [0.7] er where [0.4] if you produce more effectively [0.4] er [0.2] can offer at lower prices you will be the leading competitor in the field [0.9] in all other cases [0.4] there is there are other [0.2] criteria of competition [0.5] er it can be [0.4] sort of the ability to take in recent technology that's what they call learning [0.6] it can be quite simply the quality of products [0.6] er [0.6] you may know for instance that when i men-, was mentioning [0.2] south-western Germany [0.6] er where they produce not least er tool making [0.5] er technology sort of er factory equipment and things like that [0.7] er [0.7] these producers often sell at much higher prices than their competitors [0.6] but there is the general view that these products are of higher quality than [0.4] competitors from [0.2] er from other countries [0.4] so they don't really compete on the world market [0.7] by price [0.2] but they compete by quality [0.5] and that's a quite different kind of economic arrangement [0.2] than [0.2] a competition by price [0.2] i'll come back to that er in a minute [1.3] whereas er [0.3] then the network market world [0.5] er [0.2] that they say that price plays a role but quality comes in so that's a mixed criterion [0.7] according to their view [0.4] one can have [0. 2] and as i say i will say a bit more in a minute [0.4] can have long [0.2] discussions one can try what they have tried to do really [0.4] look at [0.5] in their case the French Italian and American economy [0.6] is say [0.6] what the dominant fields are where these economies specialize [0.5] er so then for instance you find that the American economy is rather in the two bottom [0.3] segments er it's still strong on in standardized mass production [0.3] but it's also strong in the innovative world [0.7] er [0.2] whereas [0.5] other economies have different specializations [1.3] so that you have a you have a choice really [0.4] there is not one change from [0.3] this model to this model [0.5] but [0.3] there is [0.3] what they call [1.7] worlds in plural [0.5] of production [3.9] so this is [0.5] er and this is the important to say the [0.4] important conceptual conclusion [0.4] from these observations [0.5] there is [1.6] not [0.4] a clear line to be drawn from one dominant model to another [0.7] but we have [0.5] it's more complicated but we have an alternative tool to understand these developments [0.4] by [0.6] looking at [0.6] this diversity or plurality [0.2] of production [1.3] not a a simple historical change from one model to the other [0.6] but [0.4] er [0.2] a more complex change [0.4] er [0.5] including er [0.2] a diversity of different arrangements [0.4] in the in the present [2.4] now [0.6] really [0.5] on the other two major points i'll be discussing [0.7] i will basically show that [0. 3] er that is essentially the same [0.3] er that again [0.3] we have er [1.1] among [0.2] well social scientists sociologists and certainly among journalists [0.4] often [0.3] a view that things have changed in one direction [0.4] that [0.3] this model [0.8] just didn't hold any longer [0.2] so that a new model had to be developed [1.0] whereas [0.2] in each case one can make an argument that [0.5] er [0.2] it's not as simple as that [0.4] er basic conditions have changed but that means [0.3] that we are in a situation where [0.3] as i say [0.2] new models or indeed [0.4] models based on some diversity of conditions [0.3] are still in need of development [1.3] if we do that here [0.3] for er [0.8] er the economic policy mechanism [0.9] then it is quite clear [0.3] that [0.5] as many people have it [0.4] er [0.2] the argument is that Keynesianism and corporatism [0.4] don't work any longer because of globalization [0.8] that indeed both rely on [0.4] a nationally organized economy [0.2] a nationally contained economy [0.9] Keynesanism does it [0.3] because you have a government role [0.4] er [0.6] the government determination of er [0.5] expenditure and and thus [0.3] sort of the level of economic aki-, activity the steering of that level [0.5] on the basis of [0.4] er [0.3] of government spending [1.1] where that only works is if the government can really control the economy [0.7] these are things which really happened [0.3] er [0.2] for instance in [0.4] France in the early nineteen-eighties [0.5] er when [0.2] the [0.7] well that was the first time that France had a socialist government [0.5] in the post-World War [0.3] Two period [0.6] and that government [0.2] er the first government under [0.2] President Mitterand [0.6] had a commitment to Keynesianism [0.5] and there was high unemployment [0.3] so well what they wanted to do [0.2] according to old Keynesian recipes [0.5] they wanted to increase government spending [0.2] to [0.4] push the economy [0.3] to higher employment levels [0.4] well they did that they spent a lot of money [0.8] and er the economy went upwards [0.2] to some extent [0.8] but as it happened at that point of time the French economy was already [0.4] er tightly linked to other European economies and [0.6] globally linked to [0.2] other economies across the world [0.7] so the fact that the French government pumped money into [0.3] the economy [0.5] meant that many French consumers but also producers companies [0.4] bought products abroad imported products [0.6] so that [0.3] a lot of the [0.3] pump priming as it's technically called a lot of the deficit spending [0.6] didn't really went into the French didn't really go into the French economy [0.5] but went into economies other European economies and abroad [0.5] so they increased their deficit [0.4] without much effect on the French economy [0.9] and this was abandoned after [0.3] er a little more than a year [0.4] they recognized that [0.4] Keynesianism really depends on a national economy which you can control [0.6] and if you cannot control it any longer [0.4] because of [0.4] global linkages [0.5] er you just cannot do it [0.7] you don't have the effects any longer which [0.2] you would like to have [2.3] the same is true [1.0] about corporatism [0.8] because corporatism relies on the fact [0.4] that there are national organizations of the employers like [0.5] C-B-I [0.2] in England the Confederation of [0.2] British Industry [0.6] or like a national Trade Union Council [0.6] and that they get together and er determine sort of [0.2] wage levels er employment conditions and the like [1.2] now again [0.4] if you come to the conviction that [0.3] er [0.6] indeed [0.2] i-, if you try to do that [0.3] you may just er arrive at conclusions er which the economy cannot sustain [0.4] er because it competes on the global level [0.8] then what will happen is that [0.3] er [1.0] people will defect from these national organizations you have that that [0.6] employers indeed say [0.4] er said sort of in the nineteen-seventies [0.6] well if you're going to [0.2] agree sort of the national organization on that level of wages [0.5] then i just er exit from the organization [0.4] er i cannot pay those wages so er [0. 2] er [0.3] the [0.3] er [0.7] er i will pay different wages so the the model of bargaining breaks down [0.7] the same actually also [0.2] not to put the blame one-sidedly on the employers [0.4] also for workers sort of with the [0. 6] er not least sort of s-, the so-called knowledge based upper middle classes [0.4] er were [0.2] er increasingly then [0.2] also employees [0.4] er hoped to get a better bargain by individually negotiating with their employers rather than agreeing to wage conventions [0.6] er then the model also breaks down from the [0.4] employees' or workers' [0.3] er point of view [1.0] this was the crisis of the [0.4] er [0.8] er of the wage bargaining the centralized wage bargaining model [0.4] which indeed happened from the [0.2] well mid-nineteen-seventies onwards [0.5] and which in many crea-, countries led to major changes of this [0.2] this model [0.5] not a drastic one [0.2] but er in in some countries but [0.5] in many [0.4] in many cases indeed [0.4] yes [0.7] so the the idea here is [0.8] if that were entirely true [0.5] would be that [0.4] this nationally organized model what's the key characteristics here [0.5] that it's nation based [5.4] gives way to something like a global neoliberalism [13.4] now this is a case like the case with flexible specialization [0.2] in [0.4] the [0.2] the first category [0.4] global neolib-, liberalism that's what i said [0.9] is namely that [0.4] er [0.6] where there is a tendency into that direction [0.3] there was a crisis of the [0.2] Keynesian corporatist model of [0.5] economic policy [1.1] it is on the other hand not true [0.5] that [0.2] say our European economies [0.4] have just gone neoliberal have just opened to [0.4] er the world market [0.8] er we can still see on the one hand [0.6] that there is what [0.3] David Soskice calls varieties of capitalism [0.6] this is the paper which we also mention on the course outline [0.5] which is er unpublished er but is in the [0.3] the copy of it or several copies are in the [0.3] S-R-C collections [0.6] er [0.6] where he argues that [0.4] er [0.2] indeed [0.3] er there are [0.4] different ways of coordinating economies [0.5] and [0.5] and [0.2] they indeed persist er the level of coordination does not go away [0.6] er that may [0.2] change that may adapt to new conditions [0.4] er but there are sort of traditions of institutional arrangements [0.4] which indeed [0.2] are quite persistent of those changes [1. 0] he makes there a major distinction between what he calls [0.3] coordinated market economies and [0.4] uncoordinated market economies [0.8] er the uncoordinated ones or rather [0.4] the [0.2] British and the American one [0.8] er [0.3] that is why the term corporatism is less well known in this country [0. 4] because there is a much lower degree of coordination [0.5] than for instance in [0.5] er Germany or Japan [0.3] these are his counter-examples his examples for [0.4] coordinated economies [0.9] now this was written before the Japanese crisis [0. 4] but er [0.3] i-, it still holds [0.3] that [0.5] the the argument namely that [0.3] there are [0.2] sort of quite entrenched [0.3] institutional arrangements [0.4] which don't just disappear because of deregulation and neoliberalism [0.4] er but which adapt to new situations [0.9] the [0.2] point there is that these are indeed complex institutional arrangements [0.4] where [0.3] er the organization of [0.3] er training and education is involved [0.3] as you may know [0.5] that there is er [0.2] a much more organized [0.2] professional training system [0.5] er a company based one or a or a mixed system between [0.6] a dual system between companies and public institutions in Germany [0.5] where apprentices are [0.2] are trained [0.4] a much more formalized system than in this country [0.8] there is er a relation between companies and banks [0.4] which is much tighter [0.3] in both Germany and Japan [0.6] er where [0.2] er [0.5] there is the higher degree of coordination Soskice talks about [0.6] where banks don't just let [0.4] companies drop because they [0.2] the profits decline or [0.2] b-, [0.2] because they go into deficit [0.4] but they try to organize restructurings [0.5] er so really coordination between banks and [0.4] er [0.5] and companies and producers [0.9] thirdly there is in some cases [0.4] er coordinated [0.2] work [0.3] across [0.3] er companies in the same sector [0. 9] er [0.3] that is [0.6] er [0.3] are things which are now [0.3] sort of discussed under the level of sort of competition policy [0.6] where it's often argued that competition needs to be increased that the German or Japanese economy [0.4] don't really know the necessary [0.2] levels of competition [0.8] but it can also be taken to be an advantage of coordination [1.1] er [0.2] as Soskice argues [0.7] and finally there may be a kind of [0.4] company organization that's more the Japanese model [0.5] where you have large-scale con-, conglomerates [0.3] which don't [0.6] er dominate one sector [0.2] but er [0.6] er operate in various sectors so that they sustain themselves [0.4] er [0. 5] through [0.5] boom and bust because they never occul in all occur in all sectors at the same time [1.6] to [0.4] say that briefly [0.4] the argument here is [0.3] there is not just [0.5] global neoriler-, neoliberalism [0.2] but there are [0. 3] varieties of capitalism [0.2] that's indeed the title of his paper [11.5] and you recognize the same structure of argument [0.3] is not a change to one new model [0.4] but there is [0.4] a transformation towards [0.4] er a more complex institutional [0.2] situation overall [3.1] then er [0.5] finally [0.6] let's say something about [0.4] the economic policy objective [0.8] where there was an agreement [0.2] that [0.2] it should be sort of growth and full employment and full employment through growth [0.7] that is the [0.4] the Keynesian full employment convention as some people call it [0.7] er and the idea that it was reachable [0.6] er that it was indeed achievable with some standard tools [0.8] now as i said earlier [0.2] there is an agreement that these tools don't work in the same way than they used to work [0.9] but if we conclude from what i said earlier [0.5] there's also probably not necessarily [0.2] the idea that one has to abandon that entirely [1.3] now some people argue that and er [0.4] that's again one of those fashionable terms of the time [0.5] where some people say we have to [0.2] get away from any such commitment of full employment [0.5] what we have to do is to change the [0.3] supply situation on the labour market [0.3] people have to be flexible [0.5] we have to deregulate the labour market [0.4] we have to [0.4] allow hiring [0.2] hiring and firing on more easy conditions we have to allow [0.5] variety of work situations [0.4] er sort of temporary contracts part-time contracts [0.6] er [0.7] temping in general [0.5] er [0.4] no minimum wage [0.5] all that only [0.2] er [0.3] hampers the development of the economy and the creation of jobs [0.4] er what one has to have is a maximum flexibility [0.6] that's the one idea [7.0] now [0.3] this idea obviously goes along well with an idea of global neol-, neoliberalism [0.2] that you should have markets and competition wherever you can get them [1.2] what it does not do though [0.5] er [0.3] is it does not have a link between economic policy and social policy any longer [0.4] in the same way [0.4] in which the full employment convention had it [1.2] there [0.3] this [0.2] full employment convention really meant [0.3] that within a society within a nation [0.5] there was an understanding that [0.4] there is something like a common responsibility [0.6] to get [0.5] everybody employed [0.4] and those who temporarily could not be employed [0.4] er should get unemployment benefits on such a level that er [0.2] they could lead a decent life [1.1] er that is what i call a linkage between economic policy and social policy [0.8] so that there is well the government could even say a societal commitment and consensus along that [1.2] what the idea of flexibility means really is giving that idea up [0.3] it basically shifts responsibility from the society to the individual [0.8] er [0. 4] the overall conditions are changed in such a way that [0.5] there are really almost no impediments or barriers to get a job [0.8] er [0.6] no union involvement [0.2] no restrictions [0.3] nothing like that [0.6] but that that also means that [0.5] everybody should see how [0.2] he or she could [0.4] sell [0.5] her or his labour power [0.4] er under whatever conditions are possible [0.9] now the [0.4] here there is not really [0.2] a new [0.9] model [0.6] but it is also clear that at least in European societies [0.5] er [0.2] the flexibility regime is not just accepted [0.8] i mean there are some people who talk about [0.5] er [0.9] offensive [0. 2] flexibility or constructive flexibility [0.4] where they see a role for the unions n-, new role for the unions a new role for the regions [0.4] er to develop the regime [0.3] which er [0.3] keeps up this linkage of [0.4] as i will call it [0.4] of economic and social policy [1.9] i put that into [0.2] brackets because there isn't really yet a model [2.9] but the idea is that some such linkage needs to be maintained [9.0] and that there is indeed no reason to assume [0.5] it may have become more difficult than it was in the nineteen- sixties [0.5] when [0.2] this could be organized around a national society [0. 6] the national government committed to that [0.5] that may no longer be possible [0.8] however [0.5] er this does not entail that there are no [0.3] means and resources and actors [0.4] to try to develop such a new model [0.5] there are unions there are [0.3] regional or [0.2] city governments who could [0.3] have a stronger role [0.6] again partly because historically they had a role [0.6] there is now not least er a stronger role of the European Union [0.5] so if Keynesianism doesn't work any longer on the national level [0.2] maybe it still works on the European level [0.6] because Europe is less overall less import dependent [0.3] than each individual member state of the European Union [0.8] so there are discussions around [0.5] how to design really this [0.4] this model [0.6] which are open sort of which are [0.5] open-ended there is no solution for it yet [0.2] but [0.5] er [0.2] there is also the view [0.2] that [0.3] there is no need to [0.2] embark fully on a model of flexibility [3.2] to conclude [0.5] er what you have seen and the way in which i [0.2] introduced this model at the very beginning [0.6] er [0.6] and that is one of the important questions here [0.2] in this model there is a linkage between [0.4] organization of production [0.3] economic policy mechanism [0.5] and economic policy objective [0.4] one follows from the other [0.7] if you have standardized mass production you have standardized work situations [0.4] you have er [0.6] a likelihood of the common workers' consciousness and [0.2] trade union development [0.7] er who can operate in large-scale organizations who can get organized and [0.4] o-, are organizable because they [0.2] are in these large-scale organizations [0.7] you have [0.4] er a national government [0.3] er [0.4] or in a national level [0.3] towards they relate [0.2] both the unions and the employers [0.8] and [0.3] thus you can construct [0.4] sort of a socially responsible community [0.3] er to arrive at [1.1] a linkage of economic and social policy [0.6] so this [0.4] this works the one relates to the other [0.2] or rather it worked [0.5] it was the model of the fifties and sixties [0.7] it doesn't work any longer in the same way [0.3] and one possibility here is [0.7] to argue [1.5] in favour of a model which combines [0. 4] flexible specialization and global neoliber-, neoliberalism and flexibility [0.8] which does away with all the institutions and boundaries which there were [0.4] and just hopes that [0.8] by flexibilizing [0. 2] this you can [0.5] create a new kind of viable [0.2] economic regime [1.3] now as i've tried to say briefly there are reasons [0.4] to assume that that [0. 3] while it is a coherent model [0.6] but that it just wouldn't [0.7] er be socially viable [0.2] that it would [0.5] er create er high inequalities [0.4] er [0.5] of a level in kind which one tried to abolish over much of the [0.6] social and economic [0.2] policy developments of the [0.4] earlier Second World War period [0.7] so that is why one has to search for [0.6] a model to relate the variety of worlds of production [0.7] in the different [0.7] sort of historically developed settings which have varieties of coordination between economies varieties of capitalism [0.9] to develop that into a new linkage of economic and social policy [0.8] but this is obviously [0.7] less clear-cut [0.2] er we can less take it for granted [0.4] than the old model [0.3] the old model was quite stable [0.4] it was [0.3] conventionalized indeed it developed over a [0.5] a long time sort of from the eighteen-eighties eighteen-nineties to the nineteen- sixties [0.3] and through many struggles obviously workers' struggles not least [0.9] er [0.4] we don't have that now there is not such a stability [0.4] there are not these conventions which [0.6] hold each other [0.5] er [0.4] but there [0.2] that does not mean that [0.2] they couldn't be developed in principle [0. 8] and that is what many [0.2] sort of [0.5] social and economic actors are really working on [0.6] at this point [2.1] okay [0.3] thank you