nm1122: now i've also circulated the arrangements for the seminars for this term as we agreed they're different from last term we're having them right at the end of the term er so you've got the topic there that er you er volunteered to do and th-, also those are room numbers where we're meeting er right at the end of term so we've got five seminars er we'll use the two hour slots for two seminars okay for each each hour plus one of the hours so you've a total of five hours there altogether sm1123: yeah nm1122: two-plus-two-plus-one everybody clear on what we're doing and the idea of that is that we get all the teaching out of the way and then there's no problem that the seminars are running ahead of the lectures okay er those of you the the visiting students er who er i think at least at least a couple of you got some rather low marks and i think the reason for that might be as i have discussed certainly with one of you that you were unclear of what was required of you er if you want to pick a topic from last term and have another go at it er i'm i'm willing to accept that okay because you hopefully now have a better idea of what's required of you so if you want to choose a topic from last term er then by all means do so and i'll put that mark in rather than the one that you've been given because as i say i think there's a learning process going on of what's required okay right that only applies to visiting students the rest of you know exactly what's required [laughter] right oh it's another one of those du-, well today we're talking about globalization and liberalization you should all have a handout now er sm1124: nm1122: have you covered globalization in in your International Relations course so are you doing that course okay well i'll er probably start off by asking you then what do you understand by globalization what's your how would you define it anyone don't be shy globalization you n-, if you were if somebody asked you just in general terms what you understand by it and by that sf1125: glo-, globali-, globalization is the phenomenon that took er er er technology er all around the world the trade er er the trade er er are liberalizied er nm1122: mm sf1125: and around to er duty er in the market er er something nm1122: okay right so we've got this huge expansion sf1125: yes nm1122: in the flow of information sf1125: yeah nm1122: er integrating countries sf1125: yes nm1122: and and markets together okay is it a new phenomena i mean is it something new or is it just an extension of what's been going on for a long time sm1126: it's an extension really nm1122: right in what sense sm1126: er well countries avoid one since trading began globalization was really beginning beginning beginning through trading as countries become more interlinked in trading and then they then their economies become more interlinked because of that trading and how well their trade runs nm1122: right sm1126: nm1122: so international trade isn't as we've said before isn't just goods it also brings people in contact with each other and this exchange of information and the and the and the learning process that we've talked about so it's not new in that respect at all i don't know whether some of you saw there was a programme earlier on in the week er talking about er stone age temples in Malta anybody see it at all well one of the fascinating things there was that and this was five-thousand years ago and er we're talking about Malta and the axes they were using used greenstone which can only have come from somewhere in the Alps towards the Austrian frontier er which is i guess in a straight line's about a thousand miles away and we're talking about five-thousand years ago there was obviously trade going on even then er so there's nothing new about trade in that sense globalization has a very long history er so the idea that it's something new and something spectacular that you know we've really er got to deal with now as a new exciting phenomena in that sense is is overplayed there's another view about globalization isn't there that er to quote a a theologian recently who was writing about globalization er talked about it ravaging the planet all right which is the other view about globalization particularly in the context of developing countries er the idea somehow that globalization and one of the key instruments of it which are multinational companies er is somehow a vehicle for the exploitation of poor countries er and that they're worse off as a result of globalization and of course like any economic change they can be and there are gainers and and losers from from this process but our job is to take a more objective view er as i say stating that it's not something entirely new er the new part of it is the speed at which factor and product markets are being linked together that's the new part going back to what you were saying earlier about the speed of communication the speed and the flow of information er so the phenomena itself isn't isn't new it's just a continuation of traders for many thousands of years er engaged in the movement of people and the movement of goods er and today particularly services er but it's the speed at which i think the change is taking place er so the first question then is why the speed of change er in which factor and product markets have been much more closely integrated what are the forces giving rise to that and secondly what are the role of multinational companies or transnational corporations as they're more generally known perhaps outside of Britain er what is their role in this process they're seen as being central to it er what is their role in the process and what i-, what are the costs and benefits of multinational companies er that are operating er in post-developing countries that's what we'll be looking at today okay i've given you there er my definition of globalization it's the rapid increase in the integration of world markets particularly for goods and services and financial markets er do you have another handout there please is there a spare one yeah er and i take this i mean i'd be interested in your views but i've listed some of the factors that seem to me to be important in driving the speed with which this is taking place disintegration of of er er of these markets but please tell me if you can think of other important factors that i've missed out the first one seems to me to be falling transport and communication costs mm er i mean that fall in transport costs particularly fuelled the huge expansion of trade from eighteen- seventy onwards er combined of course with the Industrial Revolution spreading er in er Europe and North America but we've seen a further revolution in transport costs i've put there that sea freights have fallen by seventy per cent in real terms er between nineteen-eighty and nineteen-ninety-six so it's still going on this is the containerization revolution this is the huge increase in the size of ships er and with it all the mechanization that goes with that er in port handling facilities and the rest er so we've seen huge investment er in all this new technology in in in shipping and port handling which has greatly reduced cost maybe perhaps given some of the sea disasters that we've seen er perhaps the pressure on costs is a bit too much er but that's another story and of course the huge fall in communications cost i don't know if anyone's got any numbers they could give me i couldn't find any easily about some number that might capture the huge fall in communication cost you know the tr-, the local cost of transmitting data back and forward say to America or the changes in the cost of telephone calls and so forth anyone any ideas on that read any articles no i couldn't come across anything off hand but it's quite obvious that there's been an enormous fall and that's continuing er with er all the mergers that we've seen in the and the and the new technology that keeps pouring in every year into the telecommunications industry er using satellites cables combined with computers and everything else so clearly that's must be a huge figure as well probably much much greater than the seventy per cent that i've given er over those er sixteen seventeen years so the fall in transport and and communication costs seems to me to be one critical factor speeding up this integration of markets secondly changes in technology er in the sixties and seventies and on into the eighties er it was still an era of sort of a Henry Ford type er assembly operations where you had huge integrated plants er benefitting from economies of scale er in production mm er and the big change in technology er as much as i understand it which is not a lot er is that that has completely changed almost right across the board er where new technologies computer controlled technologies in in particular have enabled the whole scale of production now to be much smaller than it was before to put it more technically minimum efficient scale of production er all right the lowest point of the of the long run average cost curve er minimum efficient scale of production er is now at a much lower level of output than it was before now that must be good news for developing countries mm because large-scale production inevitably centres production in the industrialized countries mm because they have the large markets they have access to capital and skilled labour and all the rest that is needed for these huge integrated plants and a small developing country finds it very difficult to break in to industries where there are large economies of scale in production er so this change in technology which is decreasing minimum efficient scale of production must be good news surely for developing countries moving in particularly into the new technologies and new products and new industries er er leaving perhaps the larger assembly operations which may still be subject to economies of scale to er to the industrialized countries so we've changes in technology decreasing the minimum efficient scale of production and secondly changes in technology greatly increasing the speed and capacity to process information okay it's the combination of computers and er and information technology in in general satellites cables the rest er which enable us to transfer huge flows of information er highly technical information almost instantaneously from one side of the world to another er last year er i was er lucky enough to be in Mauritius er go there from time to time doing er some work for various organizations just happened to choose Mauritius er [laughter] and there the key sector indeed the only er manufacturing sector on the small island er is the clothing industry i mean in the to give you an idea of its expansion er in the late seventies there was hardly any clothing industry at all in Mauritius they were almost totally dependent on exports of sugar er sugar cane of course er er huge expansion in the population due to past growth of population so er they had ooh twenty thirty per cent measured unemployment and of course as we know in developing countries er real unemployment is always quite a bit greater than measured unemployment but you know twenty thirty per cent measured unemployment much higher percentages of unemployment among young people 'cause there weren't any jobs for them and so the government er intervened into this situation and through various processes that we'll be talking about in a moment er attracted in foreign direct investment particularly er Hong Kong investment to set up a clothing industry and by the nineteen-eighty-six eighty-seven they had become the the world's third largest exporter of er woollen clothing er you know proud boast is there isn't a single sheep on the island er but all the wool comes from Australia er it's made up then into woollen garments and then it's exported particularly to Europe but also to North America er having started off with woollen garments they also have er got into er cotton and into mixtures of cotton and artificial fibres and now it's a very thriving industry indeed it's the it's the main source of employment on the island and totally transformed the standard of living there in the matter of a decade so it's a a really a spectacular success story so far and going round some of these factories which of course were new factories er one of the points that was made to me was that er we only get the orders from Europe and some of these er factories were supplying fashion houses in in France in particular 'cause Mauritius has got a long history er of association with France it used to be a French colony before the er er Napoleonic Wars er and er the fashion houses in France only give the orders to the factories in in Mauritius at the very last minute you know er and then they'll say say it's sort of er er s-, spring clothing they'll get the orders round about September October and delivery's got to be now January you know er which of course a very short time period for them er to respond to this and one of the key factors in their ability to respond to it is the ability to transfer the details of the order the exact you know precise patterns that are needed the precise specification of the clothing the different sizes the different styles measurements that are a-, all needed er including all the instructions for setting up the numerically controlled er er machinery which they then have computer controlled machinery which is then used to cut the cloth and then it goes off for finishing which is more a sort of a a a labour intensive operation er you know the stitching and the and various bits and pieces er that gives the style to the garment er but a key factor was this ability to transfer very very detailed information to and fro the factory and er the fashion houses er in the space of a second er and to transfer that information straight onto the new machinery as well as the fact that minimum efficient scale of production was much smaller er than it had been maybe you know fifteen twenty years before er using the old machinery so that's an example then of a way in which we've had a decrease in minimum efficient scale of production combined with er this technological revolution in transmitting information er combining together to give a strong comparative advantage er to a developing country such as Mauritius the third element that seems to me important are er changes in the organization of production er at an international level i mean all of you lot have heard about international sourcing and i'm sure you've seen articles and maybe diagrams showing er lo-, th-, where components for a car today come from er the gear box may be made in in er er Brazil er the powertrain maybe comes from er Taiwan er the seats are maybe made in Italy er the electronics er come from Germany and so forth and then it's all brought together er in the assembly plants which are generally near the markets either in Europe or North America or i-, or in Japan but worldwide sourcing of components er is now er the key element in maintaining the competitiveness er of a wide range of products of which the most spectacular i guess are cars but it applies now right across the board to electronic goods and a whole range of other products er so this change in the organization of production which again goes back to some of the points we made earlier er the fact that transportation costs are much lower now the fact that communication costs are lower and much more er speedy and sophisticated than they were before enable this international sourcing of production er so there's been this change laid particularly by Japan er in the organization of production and the other element to the change in the organization of production er is just in time production as it's called again er particularly introduced in er Japan although they were actually using er American engineers who had first invented this but it was put into practice in a large way in Japan and just in time production is that all these components from all over the place come together just in time to be assembled into the final car er you don't keep stocks er or you keep very little in the way of stocks it's a sort of huge conveyor belt er stretching right across the world and coming just in time to be assembled together er for the final product whether it's a car or a video recorder er or a camera or C-D player or whatever it happens to be er and that again is increasingly the element in maintaining competitiveness and firms that are not able to organize production in that way er simply can't compete which is you can see we're beginning now to move in to the ways in which multinational companies then have a strong competitive edge er if not a dominant position in these world markets 'cause it's it's that sort of size that sort of worldwide sourcing that sort of knowledge about where to buy goods how to combine them together er just in time er that multinationals have and which are very difficult for er er smaller national companies er to obtain er so we come then to the rise of transnational corporations er producing for a global market er they're the ones who can take advantage in particular of these various components that i've mentioned fall in transort communication costs changes in technology changes in the organization of production er and their competitive strength particularly lies in their ability to make use er of these fundamental changes er in techniques of production but of course all this would be impossible without er the liberalization of world trade in goods and services and in capital markets we've talked about that last term when we talked about in particular the Uruguay round of er multilateral trade negotiations er and the the the fact now that you know previously the W-T-O had been regarded as the rich nations' club but now almost all developing countries are signing up or have signed up to the W-T-O to be members because the W-T-O is the central point for er the development of the liberalization of world trade if world trade isn't isn't liberalized then transport and communication costs can fall as much as they like we can have changes in techniques of production er going at a rapid pace but it's not going to lead to anything unless we also have the free movement of er factors of production and goods and services and so it all fits together one element reinforces the other one element drives the other er the need to be competitive er and utilize these er changes er in technology and changes in the organization of production bring pressure to bear on governments to er negotiate er trade agreeements freeing barriers to trade freeing barriers to movements of capital er and of course also freeing barriers to movement of people er so we've had this drive towards liberalization er of er world trade and er capital movements multilaterally through the W-T-O but also bilaterally through er free trade agreements and remember we mentioned again last term er the huge proliferation of free trade agreements er notably by Europe er but also increasingly by er the United States and in turn by a wide range of developing countries particularly in Latin America er to a lesser extent but it's gathering pace also in Europe er in er er in in Asia er started off with ASEAN the Association of er South-East Asian Nations which is still more a political organization than economic but the economics are increasing but the key one er is er is APEC er which covers er the Pacific and East Asia and er countries like Thailand Taiwan er China probably coming into it er er Malaysia and so on er and of course er unilaterally er we tend to think of trade negotiations being a bargaining process but remember the theory of international trade er tells us that far from giving something away when you lower your barriers to trade mm on the contrary er you gain by this and that's what the theory of comparative advantage tells you er that's not intuitively obvious to people that by lowering your barriers to trade you're not giving something away you're gaining you're raising the welfare of the country you're increasing your production possibilities you're increasing real income so lowering barriers to trade er unilaterally is a welfare increasing process for the country concerned they don't need to get something in exchange in order to benefit from trade and increasingly that message is also coming home er to countries who are unilaterally lowering their barriers to trade so at the bottom of that page there i've given you some er i mean you can have as many figures as you like here you can look at the growth of world trade you can look in particularly at the rising share of er trade in gross domestic product er for for rapidly growing countries and what i've given you here is just some figures taken from the world development indicators remember that key source from the World Bank er showing trade in goods and remember it's just goods that are in here as a percentage of purchasing power parity all right P-P-P stands for purchasing power parity er of gross domestic product just comparing nineteen-eighty-seven with nineteen-ninety-seven and not surprisingly you see particularly for East Asia and the Pacific er there was just under ten per cent trade was in goods was just under ten per cent of G-D-P in nineteen-eighty-seven it was just under fifteen per cent in nineteen-ninety-seven now remember in nineteen-eighty-seven East Asia had already made huge progress with they they were already in the newly industrialized countries in nineteen-eighty-seven and if i'd gone back ten years before that you'd have seen an even more spectacular change so that's already started in nineteen-eighty-seven already got the newly industrialized countries established in world trade and they're still increasing trade as a share of their gross domestic product er er at world level er you can see again a a a a ten per cent increase er Latin America now is the area where trade is the powerhouse for the growth of of these economies er trade both between countries the Mercasor countries in Latin America that we talked about er last term er rapidly increasing trade between themselves in which Brazil er of course given its size a central er country here er but also trade with the rest of the world as well er and of course we've got the er North American Free Trade er Agreement between Mexico and the United States and Canada and the plan to er expand that into the Free Trade Area of the Americas mm er well that'll be something for the future er but that's the pattern which er er Latin America will almost certainly follow bringing into the Caribbean now of course that's just trading goods mm er what we tend to forget about because we're still rooted a bit in the past in our thinking and the textbooks are still rooted a bit in the past here as well trade in services has expanded to a much greater extent than trade in goods trade in goods has expanded rapidly but trade in services has exploded mm and again changes in technology do enable developing countries to take part in that for example the er er software for er that was written to produce the er timetable for the London Underground was written in India mm er many an increasing number of er large er companies today er transfer all their routine data processing and data inputting er out to developing countries out to India out to the Caribbean out to countries in the Latin America er so the raw data is just exported en masse again using the revolution in communications and computer technology er and then it's inputted and processed and produced in whatever form the companies require and transferred back to the er head office or distributed out to the various er branches of these large corporations throughout the world er and labour's cheap of course in developing countries so you've got a pool of of cheap but skilled and educated labour er and so rather than do the task in the industrialized countries where labour is is is er is not plentiful it's scarce it's expensive you transfer it out to developing countries but there's all sorts of areas of growth of services er again using new technology er for which developing countries are increasingly involved another rapid area of course are financial services er which again can involve a limited number of of developing countries and then of course we've got tourism and international tourism is er a rapidly growing er source of income and employment particularly for small developing countries er quan-, quantitatively it's going to be not terribly important for a country like India or China although they've got a rapidly expanding er tourism market but for smaller countries er in er say like er Sri Lanka in er South Asia or other countries in South-East Asia or one of the Caribbean countries er or Pacific countries you know tiny island countries like Tonga and Fiji tourism is becoming the most important source of employment er and a major source of export earnings so don't forget the service sector in here we tend to think of goods all the time we tend to think of comparative advantage in terms of production of goods er for final consumption but apply the same theories apply the same thinking to the service sector and that's re-, er that's expanding even more rapidly than trade in goods well those are the sort of things that seem to me to be driving this globalization process and as a a-, as a result of that particularly giving er a competitive strength to big international multinational companies and i want to move onto those in a moment but i'll stop there for a moment any questions you have for me or points that i've missed out that you think are also driving this globalization process okay well if anything comes to mind while you're thinking about it let me know and chip in particularly when we're talking about multinationals er which we're now er concerned with i keep calling them multinationals but i er because that's what i've called them in the past but i gather that the standard term today is now transnationals the American term and indeed we have the U-N Centre on Transnational Corporation so i er that's why i stuck to that term don't like it transnational er sounds a bit clumsy to me prefer multinational but never mind er we'll stick to that now first of all let's and those of you who who've done er courses in international trade might well have covered this so apologies if i'm er covering something some of you already know and indeed chip in if there's something i've missed out or not quite made clear er but the theory of multinationals transnational corporations er [cough] is really based on on three factors so you r-, really the the the the the the the er emphasizing that the growth and indeed the dominance of transnational corporations is the outcome of three interacting circumstances er the ownership advantage of these firms their locational advantage and their internalization advantages and i'd like to go through each of those briefly in in turn er the ownership advantage of multinationals transnationals er is that they they own assets which can be profitably exploited on a comparatively large scale all right that's the first characteristic that they own assets which can be profitably exploited on a comparatively large scale and the sort of assets we're talking about are particularly things like intellectual property okay Microsoft er classic example perhaps of er er of intellectual property but it applies right across the board er it's i-, it's the knowledge of er you know what to produce how to produce it where to sell it how to market it that sort of knowledge okay that proprietary knowledge er which is a key component but also that that knowledge can be exploited on a large scale i mean if it's a highly specialized piece of knowledge you're not going to get a transnational corporation out of that mm so it's not only that they have this proprietary knowledge but also that the knowledge can be applied on a relatively large scale er other sort of er ownership advantages er would also be er organization and managerial skills which again in a sense develop from the size of the organization because the organization gets bigger er it has to rearrange the way in which it it it carries out its functions er some will be efficient at doing that and some won't er the usual Darwinian selection that we believe in in economics er those that can't organize themselves on a large scale go under so the ones that we actually see surviving are the ones that have adapted their organizational structures to be able to expand on a large scale er and that of course er brings a cumulative advantage to them over smaller firms or national firms which don't have those organizational and managerial skills equally of course it's presumably why you'll probably app-, at least some of you apply to these sort of firms er looking for a job er because they're the ones with the sophisticated training programmes graduate training programmes and you're then inculcated into er the organizational and managerial structures and norms and methods of er er and and practices of these huge er transnational corporations er so they build on these skills by investing heavily in people er that's why they're good organizations to join but it's essential for their survival that they do so er if they don't heavily invest in people and in organizational skills then the sheer size of the organization will be its downfall er and they also because they're producing on a comparatively large scale er they also develop sophisticated marketing networks er and again this is er a key ownership advantage locational advantage er is simply stating that it's more profitable er to produce whatever it is the goods or service er [cough] by utilizing assets er in different countries so that production takes place utilizing assets in different countries rather than just the home country of er the corporation mm so again this is another characteristic the there's this er locational advantage er which means that er they can use these assets particularly these intangible assets their their ownership advantage and produce the goods or service utilizing er the factors of production in a number of countries and not just the home country of the of the multinational er otherwise you simply produce the product in your home country and then you simply export the good or service you wouldn't be a transnational corporation you would simply be a large company exporting we could talk about international production here so another key characteristics of the goods and services are that they can be more competitively produced er utilizing factors of production at an international level and the third element there which is the one that's perhaps most difficult for people to grasp is the internalization advantage er by internalization we mean overcoming market failure er in in open markets or regular markets if you like by developing internal markets within the transnational corporation now the clearest example of market failure and the need for an internal market therefore is the market for knowledge mm firms guard their ownership advantages their their knowledge er er fiercely if you join one of these firms the fir-, one of the first things you'll do have to do is to sign the declaration which will list all sorts of things which you must not do er er and which you are will will be sued if you transfer knowledge outside of the firm er even without making it available to their competitors but you you er you must have a clear desk er you must lock away er your various pieces of information in certain places er it is absolutely forbidden to copy down onto floppy disks sources of information er and so on and they er they they police their computer systems to make sure that people are not misusing this knowledge 'cause knowledge is the most precious commodity that they have in their competitive advantage and the problem for them is on the one hand for the firm or for the enterprise to work efficiently knowledge has to be freely available er within the corporation itself otherwise you're not exploiting your er er your er competitive advantage whether it's in computer systems or in producing cars or whatever it happens to be er on the other hand you want to guard this knowledge so that it doesn't er it's not available to your competitors also knowledge is a is a difficult product once you try and sell it hence all the complicated er legislation that we have on intellectual property rights remember again last term we talked about the W-T-O agreement on trade related intellectual property rights and that was fuelled particularly by American companies who were very concerned about firms throughout the world er ripping off their knowledge er for software or for anything that happened to be er you know i talked about in Taiwan it's politely called er reverse engineering you get hold of a Phillips video recorder and you take it to pieces and say oh that's how they made it er fine you know we can we can do better than that and sell it for half the price er er it is is no longer competitive so knowledge is your o-, often your most comp-, er precious competitive advantage but you can't sell that knowledge easily 'cause as soon as you put it into the i-, into the open market it becomes a public good mm becomes a a free good er anybody can rip it off er anybody can use this reverse engineering to see how you've built the product er what components you've used and how you've designed the circuitry and so forth er and you can't er adequately guard that knowledge through the law although you obviously as i say in the in in in the TRIPS aggreement er we've been trying to do that so knowledge is this very fragile commodity and what multinational companies transnational corporations do is to make this knowledge freely available within the company er but guard it against going outside so there g-, got market failure then and the market for knowledge you can't the firm cannot obtain er the er value of its knowledge by selling it in markets mm because it can't make it exclusive er so if it keeps it internal within the firm but then maximizes er the knowledge advantage that it has er by er ha-, by developing internal markets so that there is parts of the organization of access to the knowledge they require but don't have access to the knowledge that they don't need mm and you control the dissemination of knowledge in that way er to er guard against it er going to your competitors but at the same time exploiting it in an optimal manner er within the i-, in in the company now this knowledge of course it can't simp-, er isn't simply in terms of patent and er er various other proprietary knowledge like that it can also be knowledge about markets it can be knowledge about er production processes er knowledge obtained by the very operations by the international operations of the multinational company er and so again making that freely available er pooling together the knowledge of gain by the worldwide operations of the multinational itself builds up its competitive advantage so the competitive advantage then of transnationals obtained from their ownership locational and internalization advantages er and combining those together now this bit there the personal and potential benefits of multinationals transnationals to er developing countries the most obvious one is that you get capital and the foreign direct investment comes in er so er the developing country gets capital but these days of international capital movements that's not terribly important because if you've got a worthwhile investment project even in a developing country where there's higher risk er you still shouldn't have too much difficulty in financing that project mm there are sophisticated international banks who are s-, scouring the world looking for er good rates of return for their for their clients' money er if you're a small developing country there might be a problem if you're just too small for them to be bothered with you know anything less than a few billion dollars worth of investment they might not be interested in er but on the whole er we've got sufficiently sophisticated international capital markets these days for investment er and the flow of investment not to be terribly important er as a benefit from multinationals obviously it is still important but one of the key points unfortunately about the flow of foreign direct investment is that it's heavily concentrated in a relatively few countries few developing or transitional economy and i've given you some figures there er er though in in recent years investment been particularly in the huge economies of China also in in in in Brazil and then er Mexico principally because of NAFTA the North Atlantic er the er er er North American Free Trade Agreement and er the transitional economy and the new NIX er Malaysia and Thailand conversely the whole of sub- Saharan Africa er only accounts for five per cent of foreign direct investment er but the second point i'll make is that as i say if you've got a worthwhile investment project you should be able to borrow in international capital markets and the involvement of T-N-Cs isn't just confined to foreign direct investment today there's a whole sophisticated forms of involvement which may or may not involve foreign direct investment licensing agreements joint ventures management contracts turnkey projects all sorts of ways in which er multinational transnational corporations can be involved in the production of a good or service in a developing country it doesn't just have to be a wholly owned er affiliate of the of the multinational and indeed increasingly today er transnational corporations are quite wary about having wholly owned affiliates operating in developing countries er they prefer joint ventures quite often governments in developing countries er require them to have joint ventures but in any case it it minimizes their exposure to risk by having a joint venture or by having a licensing agreement or the rest rather than putting large sums of capital in er as i say there's international capital markets to deal with that side of things so it's perhaps the second form of involvement then the the sort of non-equity forms of involvement which are increasingly important today in the activities of er transnationals the second benefit is increased employment er particularly for women in the manufacturing sector if you look at the opening chapter of your textbook there's er a little story in there about er a er a young girl leaves school er i think it's in Thailand is it er any anybody read it er going into an electronics factory or is Malaysia no i think it's Malaysia yes anyway going into an electronics factory and so forth because very often the first stage anyway of a transnational's involvement in a developing country will be in simple assembly operations and er that's particularly provides a source of employment for women rather than men er so that's why i've said it's increased employment especially for women in the manufacturing sector same's true of i talked about data processing and data entering and so forth er again that very often er produced employment for women in in developing countries and that's fortunate as well because given the labour markets in developing countries there is a a particularly in the urban sector not so much the rural sector but in the urban sector there is very limited employment for women er in the manufacturing sector in the in the local manufacturing sector in developing countries so providing employment for women may be particularly valuable er in these countries third that it obviously increases real income remember it's the multiplier effect here okay it's not simply the direct employment say of women in an electronics assembly er plant or whatever it happens to be it's not simply that direct employment there's also the multiplier effects of that you remember that the multiplier effects can be quite substantial er because it's a labour intensive operation er then the women employed in that factory will then go out they'll have a high propensity to consume all right given very low levels of income so a high proportion of their wages will be spent mostly on local er goods and services mm and that'll then lead to multiplier increases er in output employment and real incomes throughout the economy mm er fourthly er depending on the activity of multinationals and i'll come on to that er later on er there'd be a decrease in prices too er i mean if it's export platform er assembly operations well there won't be much effect that way but particularly if it's import substituting er activity by a multinational which you particularly find er in larger economies say like India or China but also in er Latin America if it's import substituting er er activity by the multinational then they can be providing a higher quality product at a lower price than er domestic manufacturers or maybe er in terms of the imported article er simply because the transnational corporation is more efficient er has lower cost of production er and also because its very presence may well bring in competition into the domestic market where previously the market was a monopolistic or or or oligopolistic structure er particularly for smaller developing countries er local manufacturers may well be you know fixing prices between themselves or there may be open or there may be tacit collusion er because it's a relatively small market and a foreign company coming in which is not part of that process can produce more competition er and can force lower prices the general effect of opening up an economy to trade further advantage which a gain which transnationals can bring is increasing government revenues this perhaps is particularly indeed perhaps the only gain that you get from transnationals' operation in say er mineral extraction you know mining operations and the rest i mean the employment effects are going to be small er very little linkage into the local economy so principally the only benefit which the government gets from it is er probably a licence agreement to operate er extracting the copper the bauxite the uranium whatever it happens to be plus er er payments are based on on production so source of government revenue in those cases important while manufacturing processes well government revenue might depend might be increased particularly if it's import substituting er manufacturing er selling products in the local market and again there's er the there's usually some sort of local purchase tax or value added tax er that'll generate government revenues in that way but also go back to what we said earlier that the on the on the multiplier effects of transnationals increasing output increasing employment er and that'll increase the base for er er government revenues also creating important external economies spillover effects er now these are potentially the most important effects of all well we say you can borrow capital on international markets or you can attract equity investment on international capital markets fairly easily these days er generates a bit of employment increased government revenues and and so on but the key advantage to a developing country of the operation of a transnational er in its economy is to be able to tap in to these competitive advantages of the multinational mm to tap into their knowledge about production processes about how to organize production about how to design the product how to market the product how to keep financial controls er and so on all the thousand-and-one factors which together are essential if you're going to compete especially in world markets and remember that most developing countries are small economies so they've got to go into world markets at a fairly early stage in their development remember we said it's sort of catch twenty-two really er you know they've got small economies and so they have to move into world markets at an early stage in their development er but if they're able to compete in world markets they wouldn't be underdeveloped countries all right so how do you crack the catch twenty-two problem er part of the answer to that is attract transnational corporations and then tap into their knowledge of course it depends crucially on the extent to which this knowledge that i've mentioned about production processes and organizing production and management and marketing it crucially depends on the extent to which that knowledge disseminates into the local economy er if it's a mining operation there's not going to be much dissemination of useful knowledge mm manufacturing process potentially er it can er be very useful go back to the case of Mauritius that i was talking about on on the clothing industry there it's an interesting very interesting er case study because it started off with er Hong Kong investment on pretty simple you know C-M-T cut make and trim operations they're called so the cloth comes in it's simply cut up sewn up into cheap garments and sold er throughout the world er but then it developed into more sophisticated operations mm er particularly brought in by er European investment into the clothing industry and of course the the wise guys there worked for the er foreign companies they saw how things were done mm they saw they learned quickly er er about overseas markets er about the n-, how to organize production in particular how to deal with these very short lead times between the buyer saying this is what we want for the spring sales and being able to produce it you know three or four months later or even shorter lead time than that er how to keep financial controls er and so on okay er and they would indeed some of the families that i talked to there er had specifically the father would send the sons out you know you're going to work for that French company there and you'll work for that Hong Kong f-, company er er you'll go into the accounts department you'll become a production engineer you'll go into marketing i mean it was it was it's as far- sighted as that you learn then from their operations er and then we set up our own factory er not only then do we find in Mauritius that more than half the factories are now owned by Mauritian nationals but they've also bought out er the original er investors the original Hong Kong investors er and American investors in in particular er so they started off working for the company they ended up owning the company mm but even without that a key factor in this dissemination of knowledge is simply you work for the company you learn how things are done and then off you go and do it yourself er and er because you have these credentials you don't have m-, much problems er in borrowing money er to set up the factory either you've worked for a a a big name er you've probably established your contacts as well throughout the industry so you'll know you're a known quantity in the industry particularly on the marketing side er and they've been extremely successful in doing that er so as i say so now more than half the industry is owned by Mauritian nationals well at the beginning you know my first sort of fifteen years ago er it was er almost exclusively er foreign owned so this dissemination of knowledge then er not only by people working for the companies but also by the transnational sourcing er its inputs from local firms mm if you're going to source your inputs from local firms you've got to tell the local firms what you want mm what your design requirements are you'll probably also er put in engineers into the firm er in order to tell them how to do it mm one of the key factors which has greatly increased the productivity of the British motor industry for example has been the fact of Japanese companies coming in er w-, w-, w-, whether it's Honda er working on in Swindon or Nissan working up in Newcastle on er both on greenfield sites er they were then sourcing they had to source er er within the European Union in order to meet rules of origins which is another area that a a key element in their ability to export in Europe there had to be a European content in production otherwise they wouldn't have been allowed to establish themselves so they had to source from Europe they particularly sourced from the U-K but then they looked at some of the U-K suppliers and held their hands up in horror at their working practices and the technology that we're using and the skills of their labour force and so they brought in a whole lot of engineers from from from Japan er and put them into these er suppliers to bring them up to best practice mm and that's what you find in developing countries as well er that er they will increasingly source their supplies er from the local economy 'cause it's profitable to do so all right it's efficient to do so particularly using as i say modern technologies and just in time production er you increasingly source from the local economy but you've got to train the suppliers especially in a developing country how to meet your requirements in terms of quality and design and everything else er so you disseminate knowledge in that way inevitably by by by doing that so that's probably the most important potential benefit potential benefit from a multinational er but of course there's the potential cost of multinationals er and i'm sure most of you are probably familiar with those people tend to dwell on the cost i don't know of of multinationals and perhaps sometimes forgetting the potential benefits they can achieve a dominant position because they're Coca-cola all right er they go in to India whatever it was and they wipe out all the er local er producers of soft drinks by their sheer marketing er name their image er their efficiency in production their efficiency in marketing their financial strains er so they can quickly get a monopoly position particularly perhaps in a developing country er and then of course there's the the appalling examples of er companies like Nestlé er that you know er pushing powdered milk in developing countries you know saying it's better than mothers' milk er which is untrue er and also er ignoring the fact that the er parents may not be able to get access to clean drinking water to combine with the powdered milk and so you have er create serious illnesses and you know so there's there's various notorious examples er of er the aggressive activities of multinationals er but even without those notorious sort of Nestlé type examples there's also this simply they point that in a small market transnational particularly import substituting one can achieve a monopoly position rather than just stimulate er local competition er in the way that we described before at least for the second point they can crowd out er actual potential local producers again by their sheer size simply based on their reputation and their marketing power and their overall efficiency and they may even you know squeeze out local producers in the way that er Branson or Virgin Airlines claimed that British Airways did er by simply you now keep selling at a loss all right er because they can afford to do so they had the financial muscle to do so so you can squeeze out the opposition by selling the goods at knock-down prices er then once the opposition's gone then you bang up the price er the third point er profits er may well be er repatriated and not reinvested in the economy i mean obviously the propensity of a of a transnational corporation to invest in the local economy will be lower than the propensity to invest er of a a wholly owned er local company er because they have all these investment opportunities throughout the world and they're maximizing the global profits of er the corporation so propensity to reinvest er may well be lower fourthly inappropriate products and technologies er inappropriate products or like the dried milk case of Nestlé is the most as i say a notorious example but it may not be quite as as notorious as that er it may simply be that er given their marketing power they're able to you know distort patterns of taste and preferences towards sophisticated goods er whereas the more approriate product may be a cheaper less sophisticated good but not with all the all the design features that they have er i guess the selling of maybe trainers and things like that in developing countries er at well they're for local people very high prices but for high prices for us as well in this country it's er but er particularly in in in developing countries you know the kids have got to have those trainers er there are er much cheaper local substitutes for f-, of of of footwear but the er marketing power of Nike or whatever it happens to be is such that they can distort tastes and preferences in that way inappropriate technologies that's a tricky one er the first example of that first source of that might be that the transnational comes in er with European or American trained engineers and best practice for them is the highly sophisticated capital intensive skill intensive operation mm er and given their training given their education back in Europe or North America that's the only technique they know that's the best technique as far as they're concerned they think in er as engineers mm whereas as economists we would think in terms of the least cost method of production and the least cost method of production may well be a more labour intensive technology in a developing country mm not only because labour costs are much lower than labour costs in the industrialized countries but also the sophisticated piece of machinery will need pretty sophisticated maintenance mm which you can sustain in a in an industrialized country because you have all the skilled engineers to keep it going and you have the specialist er firms who can come in and fix whatever's wrong with it and supply the components and off you go er within an hour or so in a developing country when a sophisticated piece of important machinery breaks down well it may be months before the blasted thing can be can be got going again 'cause the part's got to be imported from the other side of the world and once you've got the part you've then got to get an engineer who knows how to fit it to this highly sophisticated piece of er of equipment and so on so the most appropriate technology for a developing country may be er an older fashion if you like er more labour intensive er more robust piece of machinery rather than a highly sophisticated piece of computer driven electronic er state of the art er machinery that's one view okay that the that the that that the western trained engineer brings in an inappropriate technology yeah sm1127: nm1122: if you want to produce a particular product given its price and non- price characteristics all right there may be no choice of technique okay so the smooth isoquant that we draw in economics er of er variations in capital and labour inputs for any given level of output er may not exist mm the point you've just made to produce that design of garment for the fashion house in Paris selling at international market in particular you may have to produce you they you may have to use the best practice technology of the western engineer even if that's not true it it may also be the case that transnational corporations er have engineers who have experience in production conditions throughout the world mm so that for a few years they might have been working er say in Russia or Kazakhstan or wherever it happens to be or Poland er then few more years they're down in Brazil er then they're off to India mm in the course of that experience of working under different economic conditions in different production environments they will have amassed er a tremendous amount of knowledge which is not codified in books er or into er manuals all right er it's it's embodied in them as highly sophisticated very experienced highly trained engineers and so when they go into Africa or into a new environment er they bring with them all that experience and expertise and so they can solve problems which maybe a local engineer couldn't do because they don't have this breadth of experience er they can increase the efficiency of existing production because they know how you can er deal with these problems they know how you can back up systems so that er you can quickly er er deal with problems particularly breakdowns you know breakdowns of production in developing countries are are a are a continual problem mm if you've got people there that know how to fix it when the electricity supply fails when the machines fail er when something goes wrong with a production process those people are invaluable er and maybe the training which they get and the experience which engineers get working for transnational corporations is another invaluable asset far from being the er er er bringing it er er the inappropriate technologies they may well be able on the contrary to adapt technologies and use local technologies er more efficently than local er less experienced engineers so you know the idea that it's inappropriate technology shouldn't be er automatically assumed there may be no choice of techniques of production or indeed they may be more flexible in their choice of techniques of production it's a it's an empirical question another cost is extracting concessions from governments again we're dealing with highly sophisticated companies here they're usually dealing with governments throughout the world they have teams of accountants and lawyers and negotiators who are very experienced very sophisticated er er negotiators coming up against er civil servants and er er politicians in er developing countries who simply don't have that breadth of experience and expertise also transnationals are very good at playing off one country against another mm er and that's a game that they've been playing ever since they started doing this er you know twenty thirty years ago i mean a recent example i guess would be in Britain where B-M-W er said well you know if you if the government doesn't give us so many whatever it was hundred millions pounds er then we'll close the Rover works and we'll move production to Hungary mm er you know nobody's it was quite open in saying that er the European Commission are now saying er you know that's absolute rubbish er B-M-W had no intention of moving production to to Hungary they had no plans to do so it wasn't viable and it's causing problems in terms of er the subsidy which the British government have had given B-M-W but it's an example how how er a transnational corporation even dealing with a sophisticated government er and sophisticated officials that you would find in in in Britain can still use that argument if you don't give us concessions we'll go somewhere else er if you do give us the concessions we'll put in our money our expertise and you won't have er in the case of the Rover works you won't have the closure of the works with all the unemployment that's going to give rise to and loss of votes and er other things that politicians terribly concerned about er er in the case of a developing country you know if you don't give us the concession if you don't exempt us from tax all right paying taxes if you don't build us advance factories if you don't build roads for us er if you don't lay in er the all the all the public services at zero cost if you don't give us special prices for the electricity that we need or the various other services that we need then we'll go to some other country 'cause they'll do it China will do it Brazil will do it mm so you've got to do it do you've got to do something better than that mm and you play off one country against another the U-N Centre on Transnational Corporations tries to act as a clearing house er to alter the bargaining er or or the strength of bargaining between er developing countries and transnational corporations by trying to in a sense call the bluff of the transnational er trying to get developing countries particularly in a region not to engage in this er zero sum gain mm to st-, all of them to stick together and say these are our tax rates you've got to pay the local rate for the electricity supplies if you want these special facilities you've got to pay for them and we're all going to stick by that and the U-N Centre on Transnationals tries to get countries to cooperate in that way rather than this zero sum gain er of playing one off against another but i have to say it's not terribly effective they're too desperate to get them in er other possibilities er a possible conflict of objectives er between the global objectives of the multinational and the objectives of the of the host country i mean there's bound to be that conflict to a much greater extent than if you're dealing with a a local producer 'cause they're concerned with going back to what we were saying right at the beginning they're global sourcing of supplies they're selling in global markets they're maximizing the global profits of the group mm er and er whereas a local producer will have a more limited framework in which they're maximizing their their their profits and that leads to the next point in particular people allege that transnational corporations are footloose now by footloose they mean they're here today and they're gone tomorrow all right er you know you set up your assembly plant er for er er say in Malaysia er for assembling electronic goods er whatever it happens to be but then Malaysia begins to develop and real wages rise and so you pack up shop and you go off to China because China's now got a much more open door policy and wage rates are a third those in Malaysia mm er and in when wage rates rise in in China well you go off to Africa okay so er footloose then because they're transnational corporations they have complete knowledge of where exactly is the most efficient and the cheapest er location for their production mm and they can utilize this information to switch production from one country to another footloose er you have to have be a little careful with that argument because it assumes that the costs of being here today and gone tomorrow are virtually zero and that's never the case when a transnational is deciding when it will locate production they will invest a lot of resources in looking at alternative locations what are the costs and benefits of locating in Sri Lanka as opposed to in Southern India as opposed to Mauritius et cetera okay and they'll be looking obviously at the local resources that are available the tax system but also the political situation how politically stable are the countries er what are their regulations governing repatriation of profits is there a possibility of nationalization all sorts of factors come in before they actually locate in a country so there's a a quite a considerable investment in setting up even a a a simple assembly operation in a developing country it's not costless having invested that time and energy and resources er they're not going to suddenly just pack up and go away tomorrow mm 'cause they'll have to repeat the exercise all over again for some other country so what tends to happen is that having located in a developing country they will remain there mm unless things get very bad or er er wage rates really go through the roof in which case they'll want to move somewhere else but the big decision really is do we expand production say in Malaysia okay in the electronics theme or do we set up a new plant in China it's the marginal decision like that which transnationals make rather than the absolute decision of closing one factory here and er relocating it to another country so it's more a case of where do we expand production do we use our existing er facilities in particular developing countries or do we go into a new situation what's the costs of uncertainty of of of moving into a new country and into a new situation so provided the experience then the initial experience er of setting up in the developing country er proves to be er profitable and worthwhile er venture they'll tend to stay there mm at least for some considerable period of time indeed there is some evidence to show that as real if the if the initial experience is a is a profitable one as real wages rise so instead of closing down the factory and moving somewhere else they'll change the nature of the production they'll they'll they'll move upmarket into higher value added operations so you might start with simple assembly operations but as the developing country the host developing country becomes more developed er a greater pool of skilled labour er higher levels of education and the rest so they'll move into higher value added operations rather than close the factory down er that's certainly what's happened in the newly industrialized countries er of South Korea Taiwan er but also in the next wave of NIX Malaysia er Thailand er and in Latin American countries so the reaction to rising real wages is not to close the factory generally speaking but rather to move into as i say higher value added operations but obviously again it's an empirical question loss of sovereignty er well that's really follows from what i've just been saying just now er in terms of the ability of a post- government to allocate resources er within its economy that's in in the economic sense of the term er er loss of sovereignty but it also could be more general in the sense that the multinational can be a terribly ins-, important source of employment government earnings er in the small developing country okay and so it can exert political influence as well as economic influence the multinational may well be able to influence government policy in general er for example they may influence be a strong influence for liberalizing trade policy mm so that they can import goods er free of tariffs and duties and other restrictions they may put pressure on post-governments to liberalize the capital account of the balance of payments so that they can move capital and earnings and profits in and out of the country er more freely than they er can at the moment they can exert influence on tax policies on labour and social and environmental legislation in terms of their own objectives in that sense then there can be a loss of sovereignty er as well as er the narrower aspect of you know threatening to pull out if you er if you don't do such and such and the final one i've list there er little phrase by a Latin American economist er Osvaldo Sunkel er there's the er dependence dependencia school er in er in er Latin America which paints as you would imagine a pretty critical view about multinationals and they're thinking of course about the activities of American multinationals in Latin America er and Sunkel has this interesting phrase which i've put there er which is international integration and national disintegration what he had in mind is that the er the multinational companies of the nineteenth century and early twentieth century in Latin America which were very often British companies er would be involved in building railways for example in developing port facilities er in developing the markets in these countries and not simply British investment but there was a lot of British investment particularly er from the sort of eighteen-eighties er into the early part of the er of the nineteen-hundreds and Sunkel says this form of activity by these foreign companies er led to national integration right bulding railways obviously helps to integrate the whole economy in a way that hadn't been possible before and that was beneficial to the country and he contrast those activities with modern er transnational corporations they're not at all concerned with except in very large markets like Brazil or China er with the national market all right it's it's what what they're concerned with is international production okay er so that's the the international integration mm but it also leads to national disintegration in Sunkel's er terms because you create these enclaves these foreign enclaves mm these privileged elites the priviresed e-, elites work for the transnational corporation okay er at all levels er er the foreign companies will pay substantially more than the average wage rate that you find in the local economy whether it's for unskilled labour or skilled labour or professional workers the the transnational corporation always pays a premium and it offers very nice working conditions and there may be other benefits health benefits education benefits pensions schemes even totally unknown in developing countries er so there's all these benefits that you get for working for er a transnational corporation er so you become a privileged elite mm and those that are associated with the transnational corporation at a political level or the firms supplying them become part of their elite but it's a foreign enclave it's the values of the transnational er which er you sell yourself for if you like according to Sunkel's view and these elites then distance themselves from the mass of people er almost look down their noses at them all right er at the poorer people er who er are not part of this privileged foreign enclave so that's what Sunkel has in mind then as as as a cost he sees the modern transnational as er as he puts it here er leading to international integration but national disintegration well i just throw that out as a as as another broader perspective than perhaps the more narrower one that we look on as economists well i'll stop at that point er obviously what i want you to think of is going through these costs and benefits and the activities of and and the er and the competitive advantage of multinationals is ultimately an empirical question okay that's really what i want you to go away with rather than that multinationals are the salvation of developing countries which perhaps is what the World Bank er would tend to suggest or maybe Sunkel's view that they lead to national disintegration and you shouldn't have anything to do with them mm er they're the sort of two extremes of the spectrum okay what i want you to do as economists is the usual er objective cost-benefit approach of course there'll be cost but there there there are also potential benefits er and looking at what the determinants of those costs and benefits are likely to be in any particular situation and therefore what you would also look for in the empirical evidence what what would be the sort of testable hypotheses that you would put up if you were looking at whether er the activities of er transnationals or particular transnationals in a developing country what were those effects likely to be what would be the hypothesis that you would set up in order to test whether net er they were a benefit or a cost to the host developing country and what i've given you there are key aspects look at the activities of of transnationals look at linkages with the local economy and apply them to the examples that i've given you over the page there if you'd like to think about that and then er we'll have a look at that next week any